{
  "ticker": {
    "symbol": "6990",
    "name": "Plum-Monix Industry Co., Ltd.",
    "exchange": "TWO"
  },
  "latest_week": "2026-08-14",
  "latest_close": 187.0,
  "latest_open": 189.5,
  "latest_high": 231.0,
  "latest_low": 177.0,
  "bar_count": 32,
  "analysis_bar_count": 32,
  "reversal_percent": 16.0,
  "model": {
    "version": "ewc-2.1.0",
    "as_of": "2026-08-14",
    "price_basis": "weekly OHLCV; Elliott pivots use weekly closes",
    "wave_method": "constraint-based Elliott candidate enumeration",
    "cycle_method": "adaptive Hurst-style phasing with nominal harmonic bands, trough spacing, FLD and cyclic trend-line confirmation",
    "repainting_policy": "only the final active pivot is provisional; confirmed pivots are retained"
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      "date": "2026-04-17",
      "price": 114.592232,
      "kind": "high",
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      "weeks": 0,
      "confirmed": true
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      "index": 17,
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      "price": 67.668686,
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      "weeks": 3,
      "confirmed": true
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    {
      "index": 23,
      "date": "2026-06-19",
      "price": 185.648529,
      "kind": "high",
      "move_percent": 174.34924478953235,
      "weeks": 6,
      "confirmed": true
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    {
      "index": 29,
      "date": "2026-07-31",
      "price": 136.5,
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      "move_percent": -26.473966297896173,
      "weeks": 6,
      "confirmed": true
    },
    {
      "index": 30,
      "date": "2026-08-07",
      "price": 188.0,
      "kind": "high",
      "move_percent": 37.72893772893773,
      "weeks": 1,
      "confirmed": true
    },
    {
      "index": 31,
      "date": "2026-08-14",
      "price": 187.0,
      "kind": "low",
      "move_percent": -0.5319148936170213,
      "weeks": 1,
      "confirmed": false
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    "phase": "cresting",
    "trend_bias": "bearish",
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    "slope": -31.780982689309383,
    "dominant_period_weeks": 10,
    "period_basis": "median confirmed trough-to-trough and crest-to-crest spacing",
    "weeks_since_turn": 1,
    "estimated_weeks_to_next_turn": 4,
    "series": [
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        "date": "2026-01-02",
        "value": null
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        "date": "2026-01-09",
        "value": null
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      {
        "date": "2026-01-16",
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      {
        "date": "2026-01-23",
        "value": 0.0
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      {
        "date": "2026-01-30",
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        "date": "2026-02-06",
        "value": 0.0
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      {
        "date": "2026-02-13",
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        "date": "2026-02-27",
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        "date": "2026-03-06",
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        "date": "2026-03-13",
        "value": 0.0
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        "date": "2026-03-20",
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        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "value": 0.0
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "value": 46.57689985914188
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "date": "2026-07-31",
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  "hurst": {
    "status": "mixed",
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    "alignment_score": 75,
    "risk_score": 25,
    "trough_alignment": 0,
    "crest_alignment": 0,
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    "nearest_crest_window": 12,
    "method": "adaptive Hurst-style phasing with nominal harmonic bands, trough spacing, FLD and cyclic trend-line confirmation",
    "explanation": "Nominal cycles are starting bands, not fixed clocks. Each period adapts to the strongest nearby repeat in detrended weekly prices; projected turns are future intervals and require price confirmation.",
    "cycles": [
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          7,
          9
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        "period_strength": 68,
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        "amplitude": 29.004,
        "weeks_since_trough": 2,
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        "projected_trough_window": 6,
        "projected_crest_window": 8,
        "trough_window": {
          "start": 5,
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          "end": 7
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        "crest_window": {
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        "fld": {
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          "state": "crossed up",
          "weeks_since_cross": 1,
          "displacement": 4,
          "explanation": "Median price displaced forward by half the estimated wavelength; a price cross confirms a cyclic turn after it begins."
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        "vtl": {
          "available": true,
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          "state": "price above",
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          "explanation": "A provisional line through the latest two phased troughs; it is supporting evidence, not a standalone signal."
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          "explanation": "Median price displaced forward by half the estimated wavelength; a price cross confirms a cyclic turn after it begins."
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          "explanation": "Median price displaced forward by half the estimated wavelength; a price cross confirms a cyclic turn after it begins."
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      {
        "date": "2026-04-17",
        "value": 1.325239151261796
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
        "value": 0.8783868580351336
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "value": 0.6241900367956787
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "value": 0.23509584448477208
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "value": 0.56050447526826
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "value": 0.96416443670941
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "value": 0.9373324304284592
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "value": 0.8609033568592223
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "value": 0.904220762069123
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "value": 0.925672031830361
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "value": 0.7369662246211319
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "value": 0.5474238682190306
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "value": 0.39358415072662034
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "value": 0.34475866201939914
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "value": 0.21145065850832645
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "value": 0.06711186198835334
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "value": 0.22882228348419303
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-14",
        "value": 0.3589784906843141
      }
    ]
  },
  "structure": {
    "primary": {
      "id": "primary-bullish-wave4",
      "degree": "primary",
      "pattern": "impulse",
      "stage": "wave4",
      "title": "Possible Wave 4 trough",
      "direction": "bullish",
      "score": 80,
      "rules": [
        {
          "label": "Wave 2 protects the Wave 1 origin",
          "passed": true,
          "detail": "Origin 67.67; Wave 2 136.50.",
          "hard": true
        },
        {
          "label": "Wave 3 exceeds Wave 1",
          "passed": true,
          "detail": "Wave 1 185.65; Wave 3 188.00.",
          "hard": true
        },
        {
          "label": "Wave 4 does not overlap Wave 1",
          "passed": true,
          "detail": "Wave 1 boundary 185.65; Wave 4 187.00.",
          "hard": true
        }
      ],
      "guidelines": [
        {
          "label": "Wave 2 retracement is proportionate",
          "passed": true,
          "detail": "Retraced 42% of Wave 1.",
          "hard": false
        },
        {
          "label": "Wave 3 extension is plausible",
          "passed": false,
          "detail": "Wave 3 is 0.44\u00d7 Wave 1.",
          "hard": false
        },
        {
          "label": "Wave 4 retracement is proportionate",
          "passed": false,
          "detail": "Retraced 2% of Wave 3.",
          "hard": false
        },
        {
          "label": "Waves 2 and 4 show temporal alternation",
          "passed": true,
          "detail": "Wave 2 lasted 6w; Wave 4 lasted 1w.",
          "hard": false
        }
      ],
      "labels": [
        {
          "index": 17,
          "date": "2026-05-08",
          "price": 67.668686,
          "kind": "low",
          "move_percent": -40.94827823931382,
          "weeks": 3,
          "confirmed": true,
          "label": "0"
        },
        {
          "index": 23,
          "date": "2026-06-19",
          "price": 185.648529,
          "kind": "high",
          "move_percent": 174.34924478953235,
          "weeks": 6,
          "confirmed": true,
          "label": "1"
        },
        {
          "index": 29,
          "date": "2026-07-31",
          "price": 136.5,
          "kind": "low",
          "move_percent": -26.473966297896173,
          "weeks": 6,
          "confirmed": true,
          "label": "2"
        },
        {
          "index": 30,
          "date": "2026-08-07",
          "price": 188.0,
          "kind": "high",
          "move_percent": 37.72893772893773,
          "weeks": 1,
          "confirmed": true,
          "label": "3"
        },
        {
          "index": 31,
          "date": "2026-08-14",
          "price": 187.0,
          "kind": "low",
          "move_percent": -0.5319148936170213,
          "weeks": 1,
          "confirmed": false,
          "label": "4"
        }
      ],
      "invalidation": 136.5,
      "confirmation": 188.0,
      "forming": true,
      "explanation": "A rule-valid motive interpretation. Fibonacci proportions and alternation improve the fit but are guidelines, not hard requirements.",
      "evidence_weight": 46
    },
    "alternates": [
      {
        "id": "primary-bullish-wave2",
        "degree": "primary",
        "pattern": "impulse",
        "stage": "wave2",
        "title": "Possible Wave 2 trough",
        "direction": "bullish",
        "score": 58,
        "rules": [
          {
            "label": "Wave 2 protects the Wave 1 origin",
            "passed": true,
            "detail": "Origin 136.50; Wave 2 187.00.",
            "hard": true
          }
        ],
        "guidelines": [
          {
            "label": "Wave 2 retracement is proportionate",
            "passed": false,
            "detail": "Retraced 2% of Wave 1.",
            "hard": false
          }
        ],
        "labels": [
          {
            "index": 29,
            "date": "2026-07-31",
            "price": 136.5,
            "kind": "low",
            "move_percent": -26.473966297896173,
            "weeks": 6,
            "confirmed": true,
            "label": "0"
          },
          {
            "index": 30,
            "date": "2026-08-07",
            "price": 188.0,
            "kind": "high",
            "move_percent": 37.72893772893773,
            "weeks": 1,
            "confirmed": true,
            "label": "1"
          },
          {
            "index": 31,
            "date": "2026-08-14",
            "price": 187.0,
            "kind": "low",
            "move_percent": -0.5319148936170213,
            "weeks": 1,
            "confirmed": false,
            "label": "2"
          }
        ],
        "invalidation": 136.5,
        "confirmation": 188.0,
        "forming": true,
        "explanation": "A rule-valid motive interpretation. Fibonacci proportions and alternation improve the fit but are guidelines, not hard requirements.",
        "evidence_weight": 7
      },
      {
        "id": "strategic-bullish-wave4",
        "degree": "strategic",
        "pattern": "impulse",
        "stage": "wave4",
        "title": "Possible Wave 4 trough",
        "direction": "bullish",
        "score": 80,
        "rules": [
          {
            "label": "Wave 2 protects the Wave 1 origin",
            "passed": true,
            "detail": "Origin 67.67; Wave 2 136.50.",
            "hard": true
          },
          {
            "label": "Wave 3 exceeds Wave 1",
            "passed": true,
            "detail": "Wave 1 185.65; Wave 3 188.00.",
            "hard": true
          },
          {
            "label": "Wave 4 does not overlap Wave 1",
            "passed": true,
            "detail": "Wave 1 boundary 185.65; Wave 4 187.00.",
            "hard": true
          }
        ],
        "guidelines": [
          {
            "label": "Wave 2 retracement is proportionate",
            "passed": true,
            "detail": "Retraced 42% of Wave 1.",
            "hard": false
          },
          {
            "label": "Wave 3 extension is plausible",
            "passed": false,
            "detail": "Wave 3 is 0.44\u00d7 Wave 1.",
            "hard": false
          },
          {
            "label": "Wave 4 retracement is proportionate",
            "passed": false,
            "detail": "Retraced 2% of Wave 3.",
            "hard": false
          },
          {
            "label": "Waves 2 and 4 show temporal alternation",
            "passed": true,
            "detail": "Wave 2 lasted 6w; Wave 4 lasted 1w.",
            "hard": false
          }
        ],
        "labels": [
          {
            "index": 17,
            "date": "2026-05-08",
            "price": 67.668686,
            "kind": "low",
            "move_percent": -40.94827823931382,
            "weeks": 3,
            "confirmed": true,
            "label": "0"
          },
          {
            "index": 23,
            "date": "2026-06-19",
            "price": 185.648529,
            "kind": "high",
            "move_percent": 174.34924478953235,
            "weeks": 6,
            "confirmed": true,
            "label": "1"
          },
          {
            "index": 29,
            "date": "2026-07-31",
            "price": 136.5,
            "kind": "low",
            "move_percent": -26.473966297896173,
            "weeks": 6,
            "confirmed": true,
            "label": "2"
          },
          {
            "index": 30,
            "date": "2026-08-07",
            "price": 188.0,
            "kind": "high",
            "move_percent": 37.72893772893773,
            "weeks": 1,
            "confirmed": true,
            "label": "3"
          },
          {
            "index": 31,
            "date": "2026-08-14",
            "price": 187.0,
            "kind": "low",
            "move_percent": -0.5319148936170213,
            "weeks": 1,
            "confirmed": false,
            "label": "4"
          }
        ],
        "invalidation": 136.5,
        "confirmation": 188.0,
        "forming": true,
        "explanation": "A rule-valid motive interpretation. Fibonacci proportions and alternation improve the fit but are guidelines, not hard requirements.",
        "evidence_weight": 46
      }
    ],
    "degrees": [
      {
        "key": "strategic",
        "label": "Strategic",
        "reversal_percent": 24.0,
        "primary": {
          "id": "strategic-bullish-wave4",
          "degree": "strategic",
          "pattern": "impulse",
          "stage": "wave4",
          "title": "Possible Wave 4 trough",
          "direction": "bullish",
          "score": 80,
          "rules": [
            {
              "label": "Wave 2 protects the Wave 1 origin",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Origin 67.67; Wave 2 136.50.",
              "hard": true
            },
            {
              "label": "Wave 3 exceeds Wave 1",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Wave 1 185.65; Wave 3 188.00.",
              "hard": true
            },
            {
              "label": "Wave 4 does not overlap Wave 1",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Wave 1 boundary 185.65; Wave 4 187.00.",
              "hard": true
            }
          ],
          "guidelines": [
            {
              "label": "Wave 2 retracement is proportionate",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Retraced 42% of Wave 1.",
              "hard": false
            },
            {
              "label": "Wave 3 extension is plausible",
              "passed": false,
              "detail": "Wave 3 is 0.44\u00d7 Wave 1.",
              "hard": false
            },
            {
              "label": "Wave 4 retracement is proportionate",
              "passed": false,
              "detail": "Retraced 2% of Wave 3.",
              "hard": false
            },
            {
              "label": "Waves 2 and 4 show temporal alternation",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Wave 2 lasted 6w; Wave 4 lasted 1w.",
              "hard": false
            }
          ],
          "labels": [
            {
              "index": 17,
              "date": "2026-05-08",
              "price": 67.668686,
              "kind": "low",
              "move_percent": -40.94827823931382,
              "weeks": 3,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "0"
            },
            {
              "index": 23,
              "date": "2026-06-19",
              "price": 185.648529,
              "kind": "high",
              "move_percent": 174.34924478953235,
              "weeks": 6,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "1"
            },
            {
              "index": 29,
              "date": "2026-07-31",
              "price": 136.5,
              "kind": "low",
              "move_percent": -26.473966297896173,
              "weeks": 6,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "2"
            },
            {
              "index": 30,
              "date": "2026-08-07",
              "price": 188.0,
              "kind": "high",
              "move_percent": 37.72893772893773,
              "weeks": 1,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "3"
            },
            {
              "index": 31,
              "date": "2026-08-14",
              "price": 187.0,
              "kind": "low",
              "move_percent": -0.5319148936170213,
              "weeks": 1,
              "confirmed": false,
              "label": "4"
            }
          ],
          "invalidation": 136.5,
          "confirmation": 188.0,
          "forming": true,
          "explanation": "A rule-valid motive interpretation. Fibonacci proportions and alternation improve the fit but are guidelines, not hard requirements.",
          "evidence_weight": 46
        },
        "candidate_count": 2,
        "explanation": "Strategic degree uses a 24.0% weekly closing-price reversal threshold."
      },
      {
        "key": "primary",
        "label": "Primary",
        "reversal_percent": 16.0,
        "primary": {
          "id": "primary-bullish-wave4",
          "degree": "primary",
          "pattern": "impulse",
          "stage": "wave4",
          "title": "Possible Wave 4 trough",
          "direction": "bullish",
          "score": 80,
          "rules": [
            {
              "label": "Wave 2 protects the Wave 1 origin",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Origin 67.67; Wave 2 136.50.",
              "hard": true
            },
            {
              "label": "Wave 3 exceeds Wave 1",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Wave 1 185.65; Wave 3 188.00.",
              "hard": true
            },
            {
              "label": "Wave 4 does not overlap Wave 1",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Wave 1 boundary 185.65; Wave 4 187.00.",
              "hard": true
            }
          ],
          "guidelines": [
            {
              "label": "Wave 2 retracement is proportionate",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Retraced 42% of Wave 1.",
              "hard": false
            },
            {
              "label": "Wave 3 extension is plausible",
              "passed": false,
              "detail": "Wave 3 is 0.44\u00d7 Wave 1.",
              "hard": false
            },
            {
              "label": "Wave 4 retracement is proportionate",
              "passed": false,
              "detail": "Retraced 2% of Wave 3.",
              "hard": false
            },
            {
              "label": "Waves 2 and 4 show temporal alternation",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Wave 2 lasted 6w; Wave 4 lasted 1w.",
              "hard": false
            }
          ],
          "labels": [
            {
              "index": 17,
              "date": "2026-05-08",
              "price": 67.668686,
              "kind": "low",
              "move_percent": -40.94827823931382,
              "weeks": 3,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "0"
            },
            {
              "index": 23,
              "date": "2026-06-19",
              "price": 185.648529,
              "kind": "high",
              "move_percent": 174.34924478953235,
              "weeks": 6,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "1"
            },
            {
              "index": 29,
              "date": "2026-07-31",
              "price": 136.5,
              "kind": "low",
              "move_percent": -26.473966297896173,
              "weeks": 6,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "2"
            },
            {
              "index": 30,
              "date": "2026-08-07",
              "price": 188.0,
              "kind": "high",
              "move_percent": 37.72893772893773,
              "weeks": 1,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "3"
            },
            {
              "index": 31,
              "date": "2026-08-14",
              "price": 187.0,
              "kind": "low",
              "move_percent": -0.5319148936170213,
              "weeks": 1,
              "confirmed": false,
              "label": "4"
            }
          ],
          "invalidation": 136.5,
          "confirmation": 188.0,
          "forming": true,
          "explanation": "A rule-valid motive interpretation. Fibonacci proportions and alternation improve the fit but are guidelines, not hard requirements.",
          "evidence_weight": 46
        },
        "candidate_count": 2,
        "explanation": "Primary degree uses a 16.0% weekly closing-price reversal threshold."
      },
      {
        "key": "tactical",
        "label": "Tactical",
        "reversal_percent": 11.2,
        "primary": {
          "id": "tactical-bullish-wave4",
          "degree": "tactical",
          "pattern": "impulse",
          "stage": "wave4",
          "title": "Possible Wave 4 trough",
          "direction": "bullish",
          "score": 80,
          "rules": [
            {
              "label": "Wave 2 protects the Wave 1 origin",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Origin 67.67; Wave 2 136.50.",
              "hard": true
            },
            {
              "label": "Wave 3 exceeds Wave 1",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Wave 1 185.65; Wave 3 188.00.",
              "hard": true
            },
            {
              "label": "Wave 4 does not overlap Wave 1",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Wave 1 boundary 185.65; Wave 4 187.00.",
              "hard": true
            }
          ],
          "guidelines": [
            {
              "label": "Wave 2 retracement is proportionate",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Retraced 42% of Wave 1.",
              "hard": false
            },
            {
              "label": "Wave 3 extension is plausible",
              "passed": false,
              "detail": "Wave 3 is 0.44\u00d7 Wave 1.",
              "hard": false
            },
            {
              "label": "Wave 4 retracement is proportionate",
              "passed": false,
              "detail": "Retraced 2% of Wave 3.",
              "hard": false
            },
            {
              "label": "Waves 2 and 4 show temporal alternation",
              "passed": true,
              "detail": "Wave 2 lasted 6w; Wave 4 lasted 1w.",
              "hard": false
            }
          ],
          "labels": [
            {
              "index": 17,
              "date": "2026-05-08",
              "price": 67.668686,
              "kind": "low",
              "move_percent": -40.94827823931382,
              "weeks": 3,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "0"
            },
            {
              "index": 23,
              "date": "2026-06-19",
              "price": 185.648529,
              "kind": "high",
              "move_percent": 174.34924478953235,
              "weeks": 6,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "1"
            },
            {
              "index": 29,
              "date": "2026-07-31",
              "price": 136.5,
              "kind": "low",
              "move_percent": -26.473966297896173,
              "weeks": 6,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "2"
            },
            {
              "index": 30,
              "date": "2026-08-07",
              "price": 188.0,
              "kind": "high",
              "move_percent": 37.72893772893773,
              "weeks": 1,
              "confirmed": true,
              "label": "3"
            },
            {
              "index": 31,
              "date": "2026-08-14",
              "price": 187.0,
              "kind": "low",
              "move_percent": -0.5319148936170213,
              "weeks": 1,
              "confirmed": false,
              "label": "4"
            }
          ],
          "invalidation": 136.5,
          "confirmation": 188.0,
          "forming": true,
          "explanation": "A rule-valid motive interpretation. Fibonacci proportions and alternation improve the fit but are guidelines, not hard requirements."
        },
        "candidate_count": 2,
        "explanation": "Tactical degree uses a 11.2% weekly closing-price reversal threshold."
      }
    ],
    "stability": {
      "score": 0,
      "changes": null,
      "observations": 0,
      "label": "Unavailable"
    },
    "method": "constraint-based Elliott candidate enumeration",
    "explanation": "Counts must pass hard Elliott geometry rules. Fibonacci relationships, alternation and cycle evidence rank admissible interpretations; evidence weights compare scenarios and are not forecast probabilities."
  },
  "scenario": {
    "setup": "warming",
    "title": "Needs more weekly history",
    "direction": "neutral",
    "confidence": 20,
    "labels": [],
    "notes": [
      "At least 65 weekly bars gives the wave and cycle model enough context."
    ],
    "metrics": {}
  },
  "detail": {
    "summary": "The closing-price swing map is classified as needs more weekly history. Price is 85.1% above its 30-week trend. 4 of 6 available confirmation measures are constructive.",
    "returns": [
      {
        "weeks": 4,
        "label": "4-week return",
        "value": 10.0
      },
      {
        "weeks": 13,
        "label": "13-week return",
        "value": 53.277154496675074
      },
      {
        "weeks": 26,
        "label": "26-week return",
        "value": 768.3361411856986
      },
      {
        "weeks": 52,
        "label": "52-week return",
        "value": null
      }
    ],
    "range": {
      "high_52": 234.164673,
      "low_52": 19.164562,
      "position_52": 78.06295411633532,
      "drawdown": -20.14166885027956
    },
    "risk": {
      "annualised_volatility": 286.650527166285,
      "average_weekly_range": 33.90293224649614,
      "active_drawdown": -0.5319148936170213
    },
    "levels": {
      "support": {
        "index": 29,
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "price": 136.5,
        "kind": "low",
        "move_percent": -26.473966297896173,
        "weeks": 6,
        "confirmed": true
      },
      "resistance": {
        "index": 30,
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "price": 188.0,
        "kind": "high",
        "move_percent": 37.72893772893773,
        "weeks": 1,
        "confirmed": true
      },
      "decisive": {
        "index": 29,
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "price": 136.5,
        "kind": "low",
        "move_percent": -26.473966297896173,
        "weeks": 6,
        "confirmed": true
      },
      "decisive_label": "Nearest confirmed structure level",
      "trend": 101.035197,
      "fair_value": 96.103507,
      "trend_gap": 85.08401582074414,
      "fair_value_gap": 94.58186890099653
    },
    "active_swing": {
      "from": {
        "index": 30,
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "price": 188.0,
        "kind": "high",
        "move_percent": 37.72893772893773,
        "weeks": 1,
        "confirmed": true
      },
      "to": {
        "index": 31,
        "date": "2026-08-14",
        "price": 187.0,
        "kind": "low",
        "move_percent": -0.5319148936170213,
        "weeks": 1,
        "confirmed": false
      },
      "move_percent": -0.5319148936170213,
      "weeks": 1,
      "status": "Forming"
    },
    "confirmation": {
      "rows": [
        {
          "label": "Trend",
          "status": "positive",
          "value": "85.1% above trend",
          "explanation": "Price is holding above its 30-week trend."
        },
        {
          "label": "Cycle pressure",
          "status": "negative",
          "value": "Cresting",
          "explanation": "The medium-term pressure curve is not rising."
        },
        {
          "label": "Cycle alignment",
          "status": "neutral",
          "value": "Mixed",
          "explanation": "Cycle lengths are not moving in one clear direction."
        },
        {
          "label": "Relative strength",
          "status": "neutral",
          "value": "Unavailable",
          "explanation": "The reading is neutral or unavailable."
        },
        {
          "label": "Market activity",
          "status": "positive",
          "value": "+47.7",
          "explanation": "Participation is supportive"
        },
        {
          "label": "Market dynamics",
          "status": "positive",
          "value": "+0.1",
          "explanation": "Price and volume behaviour is supportive"
        },
        {
          "label": "30-week momentum",
          "status": "positive",
          "value": "+760.4",
          "explanation": "Medium-term momentum is positive"
        }
      ],
      "positive": 4,
      "negative": 1,
      "neutral": 1,
      "observed": 6,
      "agreement": 67,
      "direction": "constructive",
      "scenario_direction": "neutral"
    },
    "evidence": {
      "score": 32,
      "history_score": 12,
      "indicator_coverage": 26,
      "structure_score": 83,
      "weekly_observations": 32,
      "confirmed_pivots": 5
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    "volume_ratio": 221.70299448403375,
    "historical": {
      "available": false,
      "matches": 0,
      "horizons": [],
      "note": "At least 90 weekly observations are required."
    },
    "lifecycle": {
      "state": "triggered",
      "label": "Triggered",
      "now": "Possible Wave 4 trough is the highest-ranked admissible primary count; cycle status is mixed.",
      "next": "A weekly close through 188.00, supported by an FLD cross and improving relative strength.",
      "wrong": "The underlying directional structure fails beyond 136.50; a forming endpoint can extend before that happens.",
      "risk": "The active endpoint can move until its reversal is confirmed; earnings, gaps and volatility can jump through technical levels.",
      "explanation": "The lifecycle separates an interesting setup from price confirmation, an active thesis, maturity and invalidation."
    },
    "peer_evidence": {
      "available": true,
      "peers": 24,
      "constructive_count": 14,
      "constructive_percent": 58,
      "rising_cycle_count": 9,
      "rising_cycle_percent": 38,
      "horizons": [
        {
          "weeks": 4,
          "observations": 632,
          "positive_rate": 49.2,
          "median_return": 0.0,
          "average_return": 2.64,
          "median_excess_return": -1.6,
          "excess_observations": 632,
          "p10": -9.5,
          "p90": 16.1
        },
        {
          "weeks": 13,
          "observations": 241,
          "positive_rate": 53.5,
          "median_return": 1.16,
          "average_return": 8.71,
          "median_excess_return": -3.73,
          "excess_observations": 241,
          "p10": -14.8,
          "p90": 34.54
        },
        {
          "weeks": 26,
          "observations": 135,
          "positive_rate": 47.4,
          "median_return": -0.45,
          "average_return": 14.54,
          "median_excess_return": -6.25,
          "excess_observations": 135,
          "p10": -17.37,
          "p90": 61.54
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      ],
      "benchmark": "^TWII",
      "explanation": "Breadth shows whether peers share the structure. Cohort outcomes use non-overlapping, point-in-time trend and momentum states from the same sector and report benchmark excess return when matching benchmark bars exist; they are context, not a backtest of the Elliott count."
    },
    "event_positioning": {
      "earnings_date": null,
      "earnings_weeks": null,
      "options_available": false,
      "options_direction": null,
      "options_conviction": null,
      "expected_move": null,
      "invalidation_distance": 27.005347593582886,
      "collision": false,
      "flags": [],
      "explanation": "Event and positioning context tests whether a scheduled catalyst or the options-implied move could overwhelm the technical structure."
    },
    "downside_vulnerability": {
      "score": 51,
      "label": "Elevated vulnerability",
      "tone": "elevated",
      "components": [
        {
          "key": "wave",
          "label": "Wave maturity",
          "score": 0,
          "maximum": 25,
          "bar_width": 0,
          "explanation": "The primary count is not presently a mature Wave 5."
        },
        {
          "key": "extension",
          "label": "Trend extension",
          "score": 20,
          "maximum": 20,
          "bar_width": 100,
          "explanation": "Price is 85.1% above the 30-week trend; large positive gaps increase snap-back vulnerability."
        },
        {
          "key": "range",
          "label": "Range position",
          "score": 2,
          "maximum": 15,
          "bar_width": 12,
          "explanation": "Price is 78% of the way through its 52-week low-to-high range."
        },
        {
          "key": "cycle",
          "label": "Cycle rollover",
          "score": 15,
          "maximum": 15,
          "bar_width": 100,
          "explanation": "Medium-term cycle pressure is cresting."
        },
        {
          "key": "hurst",
          "label": "Multi-cycle risk",
          "score": 4,
          "maximum": 15,
          "bar_width": 25,
          "explanation": "Hurst risk alignment is 25/100."
        },
        {
          "key": "stability",
          "label": "Count instability",
          "score": 10,
          "maximum": 10,
          "bar_width": 100,
          "explanation": "The primary interpretation has unavailable recent stability."
        },
        {
          "key": "event",
          "label": "Event proximity",
          "score": 0,
          "maximum": 10,
          "bar_width": 0,
          "explanation": "No upcoming stored earnings date is available."
        }
      ],
      "warnings": [
        "Price is 85.1% above the 30-week trend; large positive gaps increase snap-back vulnerability.",
        "Medium-term cycle pressure is cresting.",
        "The primary interpretation has unavailable recent stability."
      ],
      "explanation": "This is a pre-emptive vulnerability checklist, not a probability of decline. It rises when mature wave structure, overextension, cycle rollover, count instability and event risk cluster before price breaks down."
    }
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