{"slug": "prediction-pulse", "label": "Predictions", "eyebrow": "Events", "title": "Predictions", "description": "Relevant probability moves from prediction markets.", "insight": "Relevant event markets with active probability movement.", "top_label": "Will Jo\u00e3o Campos win the Pernambuco Governor election?", "top_value": "52.5%", "top_tone": "positive", "top_kind": "prediction", "top_width": 100, "item_count": 4, "items": [{"label": "Will Jo\u00e3o Campos win the Pernambuco Governor election?", "subtitle": "Polymarket \u00b7 Politics & Policy", "badge": "Probability Surge", "value": "52.5%", "value_label": "probability", "score": 58.2228, "tone": "positive", "rationale": "Politics & Policy expectation is rising at 52.5%. 24h move +23.5 pts. 7d move +23.5 pts. Data quality 43/100. Fast probability repricing; check related price action for confirmation.", "metrics": [{"label": "24h", "value": "+23.5 pts"}, {"label": "7d", "value": "+23.5 pts"}, {"label": "Volume", "value": "10K"}, {"label": "Quality", "value": "43/100"}], "links": [{"label": "Insight", "url": "/predictions/markets/10689080/", "external": true}, {"label": "Market", "url": "https://polymarket.com/market/will-joao-campos-win-the-pernambuco-governor-election-20260709143134926", "external": true}], "kind": "prediction", "primary_url": "/predictions/markets/10689080/", "primary_external": true, "primary_label": "Open prediction insight"}, {"label": "Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?", "subtitle": "Polymarket \u00b7 Politics & Policy", "badge": "Watch", "value": "0.8%", "value_label": "probability", "score": 35.9472, "tone": "neutral", "rationale": "Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 0.8%. 24h move -0.8 pts. 7d move -1.0 pts. Data quality 69/100.", "metrics": [{"label": "24h", "value": "-0.8 pts"}, {"label": "7d", "value": "-1.0 pts"}, {"label": "Volume", "value": "9.2M"}, {"label": "Quality", "value": "69/100"}], "links": [{"label": "Insight", "url": "/predictions/markets/7829485/", "external": true}, {"label": "Market", "url": "https://polymarket.com/market/will-michelle-bolsonaro-win-the-2026-brazilian-presidential-election", "external": true}], "kind": "prediction", "primary_url": "/predictions/markets/7829485/", "primary_external": true, "primary_label": "Open prediction insight"}, {"label": "Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?", "subtitle": "Polymarket \u00b7 Politics & Policy", "badge": "Watch", "value": "9.5%", "value_label": "probability", "score": 34.3687, "tone": "neutral", "rationale": "Politics & Policy expectation is falling at 9.5%. 24h move -3.0 pts. 7d move +1.5 pts. Data quality 54/100.", "metrics": [{"label": "24h", "value": "-3.0 pts"}, {"label": "7d", "value": "+1.5 pts"}, {"label": "Volume", "value": "98K"}, {"label": "Quality", "value": "54/100"}], "links": [{"label": "Insight", "url": "/predictions/markets/9534233/", "external": true}, {"label": "Market", "url": "https://polymarket.com/market/will-any-presidential-candidate-win-outright-in-the-first-round-of-the-brazil-election", "external": true}], "kind": "prediction", "primary_url": "/predictions/markets/9534233/", "primary_external": true, "primary_label": "Open prediction insight"}, {"label": "Will Paulo Rocha win the Governor of Par\u00e1 election?", "subtitle": "Polymarket \u00b7 Politics & Policy", "badge": "Watch", "value": "5.8%", "value_label": "probability", "score": 33.894, "tone": "neutral", "rationale": "Politics & Policy expectation is rising at 5.8%. 24h move +4.2 pts. 7d move +4.0 pts. Data quality 38/100.", "metrics": [{"label": "24h", "value": "+4.2 pts"}, {"label": "7d", "value": "+4.0 pts"}, {"label": "Volume", "value": "895"}, {"label": "Quality", "value": "38/100"}], "links": [{"label": "Insight", "url": "/predictions/markets/13267068/", "external": true}, {"label": "Market", "url": "https://polymarket.com/market/will-paulo-rocha-win-the-governor-of-para-election-20260609154624118", "external": true}], "kind": "prediction", "primary_url": "/predictions/markets/13267068/", "primary_external": true, "primary_label": "Open prediction insight"}], "url": "/market-radar/countries/br/prediction-pulse/", "api_url": "/market-radar/countries/br/prediction-pulse/api/"}