{"slug": "prediction-pulse", "label": "Predictions", "eyebrow": "Events", "title": "Predictions", "description": "Relevant probability moves from prediction markets.", "insight": "Relevant event markets with active probability movement.", "top_label": "US x China tariff agreement by July 31?", "top_value": "3.0%", "top_tone": "neutral", "top_kind": "prediction", "top_width": 100, "item_count": 2, "items": [{"label": "US x China tariff agreement by July 31?", "subtitle": "Polymarket \u00b7 Geopolitics", "badge": "Watch", "value": "3.0%", "value_label": "probability", "score": 36.4203, "tone": "neutral", "rationale": "Geopolitics expectation is steady at 3.0%. 24h move -1.4 pts. 7d move -3.0 pts. Data quality 51/100.", "metrics": [{"label": "24h", "value": "-1.4 pts"}, {"label": "7d", "value": "-3.0 pts"}, {"label": "Volume", "value": "93K"}, {"label": "Quality", "value": "51/100"}], "links": [{"label": "Insight", "url": "/predictions/markets/6924580/", "external": true}, {"label": "Market", "url": "https://polymarket.com/market/us-x-china-tariff-agreement-by-july-31-20260626205549138", "external": true}], "kind": "prediction", "primary_url": "/predictions/markets/6924580/", "primary_external": true, "primary_label": "Open prediction insight"}, {"label": "Will the People\u2019s Bank of China not change rates by September 30?", "subtitle": "Polymarket \u00b7 Geopolitics", "badge": "Probability Fade", "value": "52.5%", "value_label": "probability", "score": 35.7378, "tone": "neutral", "rationale": "Geopolitics expectation is falling at 52.5%. 24h move -1.5 pts. 7d move -35.0 pts. Data quality 41/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.", "metrics": [{"label": "24h", "value": "-1.5 pts"}, {"label": "7d", "value": "-35.0 pts"}, {"label": "Volume", "value": "10K"}, {"label": "Quality", "value": "41/100"}], "links": [{"label": "Insight", "url": "/predictions/markets/12651571/", "external": true}, {"label": "Market", "url": "https://polymarket.com/market/will-the-peoples-bank-of-china-not-change-rates-by-september-30-20260630000252023", "external": true}], "kind": "prediction", "primary_url": "/predictions/markets/12651571/", "primary_external": true, "primary_label": "Open prediction insight"}], "url": "/market-radar/countries/cn/prediction-pulse/", "api_url": "/market-radar/countries/cn/prediction-pulse/api/"}