{"slug": "prediction-pulse", "label": "Predictions", "eyebrow": "Events", "title": "Predictions", "description": "Relevant probability moves from prediction markets.", "insight": "Relevant event markets with active probability movement.", "top_label": "Will Starmer say \"Mr. Speaker\" 20+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?", "top_value": "80.0%", "items": [{"label": "Will Starmer say \"Mr. Speaker\" 20+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?", "subtitle": "Polymarket \u00b7 Politics & Policy", "badge": "Watch", "value": "80.0%", "value_label": "probability", "score": 44.8042, "tone": "neutral", "rationale": "Politics & Policy expectation is falling at 80.0%. 24h move -3.5 pts. 7d move -6.5 pts. Data quality 29/100.", "metrics": [{"label": "24h", "value": "-3.5 pts"}, {"label": "7d", "value": "-6.5 pts"}, {"label": "Volume", "value": "99"}, {"label": "Quality", "value": "29/100"}], "links": [{"label": "Insight", "url": "/predictions/markets/469941/", "external": true}, {"label": "Market", "url": "https://polymarket.com/market/will-starmer-say-mrpt-speaker-20-times-during-the-next-prime-ministers-questions-event-20260604160137132", "external": true}], "kind": "prediction", "primary_url": "/predictions/markets/469941/", "primary_external": true, "primary_label": "Open prediction insight"}, {"label": "Will Starmer say \"Reform\" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?", "subtitle": "Polymarket \u00b7 Politics & Policy", "badge": "Probability Fade", "value": "69.0%", "value_label": "probability", "score": 43.0411, "tone": "neutral", "rationale": "Politics & Policy expectation is falling at 69.0%. 24h move -8.0 pts. 7d move -8.0 pts. Data quality 26/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.", "metrics": [{"label": "24h", "value": "-8.0 pts"}, {"label": "7d", "value": "-8.0 pts"}, {"label": "Volume", "value": "94"}, {"label": "Quality", "value": "26/100"}], "links": [{"label": "Insight", "url": "/predictions/markets/715590/", "external": true}, {"label": "Market", "url": "https://polymarket.com/market/will-starmer-say-reform-during-the-next-prime-ministers-questions-event-20260604160137137", "external": true}], "kind": "prediction", "primary_url": "/predictions/markets/715590/", "primary_external": true, "primary_label": "Open prediction insight"}, {"label": "Will the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organization by June 30? ", "subtitle": "Polymarket \u00b7 Politics & Policy", "badge": "Watch", "value": "6.2%", "value_label": "probability", "score": 36.2012, "tone": "neutral", "rationale": "Politics & Policy expectation is rising at 6.2%. 24h move -1.9 pts. 7d move +4.4 pts. Data quality 50/100.", "metrics": [{"label": "24h", "value": "-1.9 pts"}, {"label": "7d", "value": "+4.4 pts"}, {"label": "Volume", "value": "97K"}, {"label": "Quality", "value": "50/100"}], "links": [{"label": "Insight", "url": "/predictions/markets/9772/", "external": true}, {"label": "Market", "url": "https://polymarket.com/market/will-the-uk-designate-the-irgc-a-terrorist-organization-by-june-30", "external": true}], "kind": "prediction", "primary_url": "/predictions/markets/9772/", "primary_external": true, "primary_label": "Open prediction insight"}], "url": "/market-radar/countries/gb/prediction-pulse/", "api_url": "/market-radar/countries/gb/prediction-pulse/api/"}