{"slug": "prediction-pulse", "label": "Predictions", "eyebrow": "Events", "title": "Predictions", "description": "Relevant probability moves from prediction markets.", "insight": "Relevant event markets with active probability movement.", "top_label": "Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?", "top_value": "99.6%", "top_tone": "positive", "top_kind": "prediction", "top_width": 100, "item_count": 3, "items": [{"label": "Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?", "subtitle": "Polymarket \u00b7 Energy", "badge": "Probability Surge", "value": "99.6%", "value_label": "probability", "score": 52.1058, "tone": "positive", "rationale": "Energy expectation is rising at 99.6%. 24h move +12.6 pts. 7d move +12.0 pts. Data quality 61/100. Fast probability repricing; check related price action for confirmation.", "metrics": [{"label": "24h", "value": "+12.6 pts"}, {"label": "7d", "value": "+12.0 pts"}, {"label": "Volume", "value": "886K"}, {"label": "Quality", "value": "61/100"}], "links": [{"label": "Insight", "url": "/predictions/markets/11976919/", "external": true}, {"label": "Market", "url": "https://polymarket.com/market/israel-x-iran-ceasefire-continues-through-july-22-20260716224448966", "external": true}], "kind": "prediction", "primary_url": "/predictions/markets/11976919/", "primary_external": true, "primary_label": "Open prediction insight"}, {"label": "Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by July 31, 2026?", "subtitle": "Polymarket \u00b7 Energy", "badge": "Watch", "value": "4.4%", "value_label": "probability", "score": 37.4191, "tone": "neutral", "rationale": "Energy expectation is steady at 4.4%. 24h move +1.8 pts. 7d move +2.8 pts. Data quality 53/100.", "metrics": [{"label": "24h", "value": "+1.8 pts"}, {"label": "7d", "value": "+2.8 pts"}, {"label": "Volume", "value": "100K"}, {"label": "Quality", "value": "53/100"}], "links": [{"label": "Insight", "url": "/predictions/markets/9294372/", "external": true}, {"label": "Market", "url": "https://polymarket.com/market/will-israel-launch-a-ground-operation-in-iran-by-july-31-2026", "external": true}], "kind": "prediction", "primary_url": "/predictions/markets/9294372/", "primary_external": true, "primary_label": "Open prediction insight"}, {"label": " Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?", "subtitle": "Polymarket \u00b7 Energy", "badge": "Watch", "value": "0.8%", "value_label": "probability", "score": 36.6107, "tone": "neutral", "rationale": "Energy expectation is steady at 0.8%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move -0.4 pts. Data quality 62/100.", "metrics": [{"label": "24h", "value": "+0.0 pts"}, {"label": "7d", "value": "-0.4 pts"}, {"label": "Volume", "value": "938K"}, {"label": "Quality", "value": "62/100"}], "links": [{"label": "Insight", "url": "/predictions/markets/2937680/", "external": true}, {"label": "Market", "url": "https://polymarket.com/market/iran-agrees-to-end-enrichment-of-uranium-by-july-31", "external": true}], "kind": "prediction", "primary_url": "/predictions/markets/2937680/", "primary_external": true, "primary_label": "Open prediction insight"}], "url": "/market-radar/countries/il/prediction-pulse/", "api_url": "/market-radar/countries/il/prediction-pulse/api/"}