{"slug": "prediction-pulse", "label": "Predictions", "eyebrow": "Events", "title": "Predictions", "description": "Relevant probability moves from prediction markets.", "insight": "Relevant event markets with active probability movement.", "top_label": "Will Israel win on 2026-06-09?", "top_value": "2.4%", "items": [{"label": "Will Israel win on 2026-06-09?", "subtitle": "Polymarket \u00b7 Geopolitics", "badge": "Probability Fade", "value": "2.4%", "value_label": "probability", "score": 62.5173, "tone": "neutral", "rationale": "Geopolitics expectation is falling at 2.4%. 24h move -7.6 pts. 7d move -7.6 pts. Data quality 41/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.", "metrics": [{"label": "24h", "value": "-7.6 pts"}, {"label": "7d", "value": "-7.6 pts"}, {"label": "Volume", "value": "999"}, {"label": "Quality", "value": "41/100"}], "links": [{"label": "Insight", "url": "/predictions/markets/182257/", "external": true}, {"label": "Market", "url": "https://polymarket.com/market/wwcquefa-isr-sco-2026-06-09-isr", "external": true}], "kind": "prediction", "primary_url": "/predictions/markets/182257/", "primary_external": true, "primary_label": "Open prediction insight"}, {"label": "Israel closes its airspace by June 9?", "subtitle": "Polymarket \u00b7 Geopolitics", "badge": "Watch", "value": "34.5%", "value_label": "probability", "score": 37.1443, "tone": "neutral", "rationale": "Geopolitics expectation is steady at 34.5%. 24h move +1.5 pts. 7d move +1.5 pts. Data quality 55/100.", "metrics": [{"label": "24h", "value": "+1.5 pts"}, {"label": "7d", "value": "+1.5 pts"}, {"label": "Volume", "value": "98K"}, {"label": "Quality", "value": "55/100"}], "links": [{"label": "Insight", "url": "/predictions/markets/730705/", "external": true}, {"label": "Market", "url": "https://polymarket.com/market/israel-closes-its-airspace-by-june-9", "external": true}], "kind": "prediction", "primary_url": "/predictions/markets/730705/", "primary_external": true, "primary_label": "Open prediction insight"}], "url": "/market-radar/countries/il/prediction-pulse/", "api_url": "/market-radar/countries/il/prediction-pulse/api/"}