{"slug": "prediction-pulse", "label": "Predictions", "eyebrow": "Events", "title": "Predictions", "description": "Relevant probability moves from prediction markets.", "insight": "Relevant event markets with active probability movement.", "top_label": "Will Giuseppe Tortora win the 2026 Pompei mayoral election?", "top_value": "99.5%", "items": [{"label": "Will Giuseppe Tortora win the 2026 Pompei mayoral election?", "subtitle": "Polymarket \u00b7 Politics & Policy", "badge": "Probability Surge", "value": "99.5%", "value_label": "probability", "score": 48.9094, "tone": "positive", "rationale": "Politics & Policy expectation is rising at 99.5%. 24h move +28.5 pts. 7d move +28.5 pts. Data quality 46/100. Fast probability repricing; check related price action for confirmation.", "metrics": [{"label": "24h", "value": "+28.5 pts"}, {"label": "7d", "value": "+28.5 pts"}, {"label": "Volume", "value": "9K"}, {"label": "Quality", "value": "46/100"}], "links": [{"label": "Insight", "url": "/predictions/markets/601875/", "external": true}, {"label": "Market", "url": "https://polymarket.com/market/will-giuseppe-tortora-win-the-2026-pompei-mayoral-election", "external": true}], "kind": "prediction", "primary_url": "/predictions/markets/601875/", "primary_external": true, "primary_label": "Open prediction insight"}, {"label": "Will Pasquale Del Prete win the 2026 Frattamaggiore mayoral election?", "subtitle": "Polymarket \u00b7 Politics & Policy", "badge": "Probability Fade", "value": "3.5%", "value_label": "probability", "score": 43.0543, "tone": "neutral", "rationale": "Politics & Policy expectation is falling at 3.5%. 24h move -28.0 pts. 7d move -12.0 pts. Data quality 40/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.", "metrics": [{"label": "24h", "value": "-28.0 pts"}, {"label": "7d", "value": "-12.0 pts"}, {"label": "Volume", "value": "947"}, {"label": "Quality", "value": "40/100"}], "links": [{"label": "Insight", "url": "/predictions/markets/378805/", "external": true}, {"label": "Market", "url": "https://polymarket.com/market/will-pasquale-del-prete-win-the-2026-frattamaggiore-mayoral-election", "external": true}], "kind": "prediction", "primary_url": "/predictions/markets/378805/", "primary_external": true, "primary_label": "Open prediction insight"}], "url": "/market-radar/countries/it/prediction-pulse/", "api_url": "/market-radar/countries/it/prediction-pulse/api/"}