{"latest_run": "2026-07-30T20:50:00.022982+00:00", "coverage_count": 6116, "result_count": 1, "page": 1, "pages": 1, "filters": {"q": "", "ticker": "AGO", "sector": "", "industry": "", "direction": "", "min_score": 0, "page": 1}, "summary": {"total": 1, "avg_conviction": 55.73, "avg_conviction_label": "55.7", "bullish": 0, "bearish": 1, "volatility": 0, "mixed": 0, "leader": "AGO", "leader_score": "56", "leader_direction": "bearish", "leader_direction_label": "Bearish", "leader_tone": "negative", "leader_read": "The strongest current read leans put-side, which is usually a caution flag or downside-risk signal."}, "charts": {"sectors": [{"ticker__sector": "Financial Services", "count": 1, "avg_score": "55.73", "sector_label": "Financial Services", "industry_label": "", "sector_url": "/structure/us/financial-services/", "industry_url": "", "bar_width": 100.0}], "directions": [{"direction": "bearish", "count": 1, "bar_width": 100.0}], "score_bands": [{"slug": "80-plus", "label": "80+", "min": "80", "max": null, "title": "80+ conviction options signals", "summary": "The strongest current options reads, where pressure, participation, volatility context, and trend fit are most aligned.", "count": 0, "url": "/options/conviction/80-plus/", "bar_width": 0.0}, {"slug": "60-79", "label": "60-79", "min": "60", "max": "80", "title": "60-79 conviction options signals", "summary": "Strong options setups with meaningful evidence, usually worth deeper confirmation in the ticker detail and weekly chart.", "count": 0, "url": "/options/conviction/60-79/", "bar_width": 0.0}, {"slug": "40-59", "label": "40-59", "min": "40", "max": "60", "title": "40-59 conviction options signals", "summary": "Developing options reads where the tape is active, but one or more confirmation layers still need context.", "count": 1, "url": "/options/conviction/40-59/", "bar_width": 100.0}, {"slug": "under-40", "label": "<40", "min": null, "max": "40", "title": "Under 40 conviction options signals", "summary": "Early, mixed, or lower-conviction options reads that can still be useful as watchlist context.", "count": 0, "url": "/options/conviction/under-40/", "bar_width": 0.0}]}, "signals": [{"symbol": "AGO", "name": "Assured Guaranty Ltd", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "currency": "USD", "sector": "Financial Services", "industry": "Insurance - Specialty", "sector_url": "https://sharemaestro.com/structure/us/financial-services/", "industry_url": "https://sharemaestro.com/structure/us/financial-services/insurance-specialty/", "direction": "bearish", "direction_label": "Bearish", "tone": "negative", "conviction_score": 55.73, "options_pressure_score": -100.0, "trend_confirmation_score": 34.57, "speculation_score": 0.06, "volatility_score": 47.28, "edge_label": "Put-side pressure", "insight": "AGO shows bearish options pressure with a 56/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of n/a, expected move of 6.5%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.", "fetched_at": "2026-07-30T05:33:12.305264+00:00", "snapshot": {"fetched_at": "2026-07-30T05:33:12.305264+00:00", "underlying_price": 85.36, "total_contracts": 174, "call_contracts": 87, "put_contracts": 87, "call_volume": 0, "put_volume": 4, "call_open_interest": 2464, "put_open_interest": 2840, "put_call_volume_ratio": null, "put_call_open_interest_ratio": 1.1525974, "volume_open_interest_ratio": 0.00075415, "avg_implied_volatility": 0.303895, "max_pain_strike": 80.0, "expected_move_percent": 6.50187441, "nearest_expiration": "2026-08-21"}, "market": {"latest_close": 85.36, "one_week_change": 0.4708097928436911, "one_week_change_label": "+0.5%", "relative_strength": -4.621408, "fair_value_gap_label": "+8.0%", "trend_signal": "0"}, "premium_flags": [{"label": "Persistent pressure", "value": "2x", "detail": "Bearish pressure has repeated across recent market sessions."}, {"label": "Priced move", "value": "6.5%", "detail": "Options are pricing a wider near-term move."}], "intent": {"slug": "earningsevent-positioning", "label": "Earnings/event positioning", "tone": "warning", "confidence": 71.3, "confidence_label": "71/100", "summary": "Options activity is concentrated around a live event window, so the cleanest read is event positioning rather than pure direction.", "evidence": [{"label": "Notional split", "value": "C 0% / P 100%", "detail": "Estimated gross traded notional uses volume \u00d7 contract multiplier \u00d7 midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available."}, {"label": "Freshness", "value": "0.00", "detail": "Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain."}, {"label": "Trend fit", "value": "35/100", "detail": "Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context."}, {"label": "Event window", "value": "6 Aug", "detail": "Matched earnings event is 6 days away."}], "watchouts": ["Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction."]}, "flow_divergence": {"label": "Bearish flow before price confirmation", "tone": "negative", "score": 46.4, "score_label": "46/100", "summary": "Put-side pressure is present before a decisive weekly price breakdown.", "metrics": [{"label": "Options pressure", "value": "-100"}, {"label": "1W price", "value": "+0.5%"}, {"label": "Call premium", "value": "0%"}, {"label": "Put premium", "value": "100%"}]}, "conviction_clusters": [{"label": "Puts \u00b7 46-90 days \u00b7 ITM", "tone": "negative", "volume": 2, "open_interest": 704, "premium": 4210.0, "premium_label": "$4210", "premium_share": 94.4475602916433, "weighted_strike": 105.0, "avg_iv": 0.44413588235294116, "max_voi": 0.00471698, "why": "puts cluster with 2 contracts traded, $4210 estimated gross traded notional, and 94% of visible notional."}, {"label": "Puts \u00b7 46-90 days \u00b7 OTM", "tone": "negative", "volume": 2, "open_interest": 1598, "premium": 247.5, "premium_label": "$248", "premium_share": 5.552439708356702, "weighted_strike": 77.5, "avg_iv": 0.31609125, "max_voi": 0.0, "why": "puts cluster with 2 contracts traded, $248 estimated gross traded notional, and 6% of visible notional."}], "why_this_matters": "Earnings/event positioning matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $4458 of estimated gross traded notional, puts \u00b7 46-90 days \u00b7 itm, and a bearish flow before price confirmation backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.", "detail_url": "https://sharemaestro.com/options/ticker/449b63ec-d8ee-4334-98df-d7080ec75a45/", "research_links": {"chart": "/terminal/449b63ec-d8ee-4334-98df-d7080ec75a45/", "report": "/terminal/449b63ec-d8ee-4334-98df-d7080ec75a45/report/", "factor": "/factors/ticker/449b63ec-d8ee-4334-98df-d7080ec75a45/", "insider": "/insider-activity/company/ago/"}}], "disclaimer": "Educational market research only. Not financial, investment, trading, tax, or legal advice."}