{"latest_run": "2026-07-31T20:50:00.033648+00:00", "coverage_count": 6120, "result_count": 1, "page": 1, "pages": 1, "filters": {"q": "", "ticker": "FOSL", "sector": "", "industry": "", "direction": "", "min_score": 0, "page": 1}, "summary": {"total": 1, "avg_conviction": 45.87, "avg_conviction_label": "45.9", "bullish": 0, "bearish": 0, "volatility": 1, "mixed": 0, "leader": "FOSL", "leader_score": "46", "leader_direction": "volatility", "leader_direction_label": "Volatility", "leader_tone": "warning", "leader_read": "The strongest current read is about a larger expected move, not a clean up-or-down direction."}, "charts": {"sectors": [{"ticker__sector": "Consumer Cyclical", "count": 1, "avg_score": "45.87", "sector_label": "Consumer Cyclical", "industry_label": "", "sector_url": "/structure/us/consumer-cyclical/", "industry_url": "", "bar_width": 100.0}], "directions": [{"direction": "volatility", "count": 1, "bar_width": 100.0}], "score_bands": [{"slug": "80-plus", "label": "80+", "min": "80", "max": null, "title": "80+ conviction options signals", "summary": "The strongest current options reads, where pressure, participation, volatility context, and trend fit are most aligned.", "count": 0, "url": "/options/conviction/80-plus/", "bar_width": 0.0}, {"slug": "60-79", "label": "60-79", "min": "60", "max": "80", "title": "60-79 conviction options signals", "summary": "Strong options setups with meaningful evidence, usually worth deeper confirmation in the ticker detail and weekly chart.", "count": 0, "url": "/options/conviction/60-79/", "bar_width": 0.0}, {"slug": "40-59", "label": "40-59", "min": "40", "max": "60", "title": "40-59 conviction options signals", "summary": "Developing options reads where the tape is active, but one or more confirmation layers still need context.", "count": 1, "url": "/options/conviction/40-59/", "bar_width": 100.0}, {"slug": "under-40", "label": "<40", "min": null, "max": "40", "title": "Under 40 conviction options signals", "summary": "Early, mixed, or lower-conviction options reads that can still be useful as watchlist context.", "count": 0, "url": "/options/conviction/under-40/", "bar_width": 0.0}]}, "signals": [{"symbol": "FOSL", "name": "Fossil Group Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "currency": "USD", "sector": "Consumer Cyclical", "industry": "Footwear & Accessories", "sector_url": "https://sharemaestro.com/structure/us/consumer-cyclical/", "industry_url": "https://sharemaestro.com/structure/us/consumer-cyclical/footwear-accessories/", "direction": "volatility", "direction_label": "Volatility", "tone": "warning", "conviction_score": 45.87, "options_pressure_score": 27.07, "trend_confirmation_score": 74.33, "speculation_score": 25.33, "volatility_score": 96.0, "edge_label": "Volatility expansion watch", "insight": "FOSL shows volatility options pressure with a 46/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.68, expected move of 23.7%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.", "fetched_at": "2026-08-02T09:57:17.740475+00:00", "snapshot": {"fetched_at": "2026-08-02T09:57:17.740475+00:00", "underlying_price": 4.95, "total_contracts": 74, "call_contracts": 37, "put_contracts": 37, "call_volume": 94, "put_volume": 64, "call_open_interest": 2077, "put_open_interest": 678, "put_call_volume_ratio": 0.68085106, "put_call_open_interest_ratio": 0.32643235, "volume_open_interest_ratio": 0.05735027, "avg_implied_volatility": 1.0977775, "max_pain_strike": 4.0, "expected_move_percent": 23.73737374, "nearest_expiration": "2026-08-21"}, "market": {"latest_close": 4.95, "one_week_change": 22.22222222222222, "one_week_change_label": "+22.2%", "relative_strength": 24.227976, "fair_value_gap_label": "+130.3%", "trend_signal": "1"}, "premium_flags": [{"label": "Priced move", "value": "23.7%", "detail": "Options are pricing a wider near-term move."}, {"label": "Trend agreement", "value": "74", "detail": "Options positioning and Sharemaestro trend context are aligned."}], "intent": {"slug": "earningsevent-positioning", "label": "Earnings/event positioning", "tone": "warning", "confidence": 90.0, "confidence_label": "90/100", "summary": "Options activity is concentrated around a live event window, so the cleanest read is event positioning rather than pure direction.", "evidence": [{"label": "Notional split", "value": "C 28% / P 72%", "detail": "Estimated gross traded notional uses volume \u00d7 contract multiplier \u00d7 midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available."}, {"label": "Freshness", "value": "0.06", "detail": "Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain."}, {"label": "Trend fit", "value": "74/100", "detail": "Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context."}, {"label": "Event window", "value": "12 Aug", "detail": "Matched earnings event is 10 days away."}], "watchouts": ["Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction."]}, "flow_divergence": {"label": "Volatility flow versus price", "tone": "warning", "score": 83.4, "score_label": "83/100", "summary": "Options are pricing movement more than direction; compare expected move with the stock's actual weekly change.", "metrics": [{"label": "Options pressure", "value": "+27"}, {"label": "1W price", "value": "+22.2%"}, {"label": "Call premium", "value": "28%"}, {"label": "Put premium", "value": "72%"}]}, "conviction_clusters": [{"label": "Puts \u00b7 91+ days \u00b7 ATM", "tone": "negative", "volume": 30, "open_interest": 30, "premium": 4050.0, "premium_label": "$4050", "premium_share": 43.28079080951109, "weighted_strike": 5.0, "avg_iv": 0.985585, "max_voi": 3.0, "why": "puts cluster with 30 contracts traded, $4050 estimated gross traded notional, and 43% of visible notional."}, {"label": "Puts \u00b7 91+ days \u00b7 OTM", "tone": "negative", "volume": 30, "open_interest": 74, "premium": 2625.0, "premium_label": "$2625", "premium_share": 28.052364413572, "weighted_strike": 4.0, "avg_iv": 0.84778625, "max_voi": 1.0, "why": "puts cluster with 30 contracts traded, $2625 estimated gross traded notional, and 28% of visible notional."}, {"label": "Calls \u00b7 8-21 days \u00b7 OTM", "tone": "positive", "volume": 88, "open_interest": 121, "premium": 1760.0, "premium_label": "$1760", "premium_share": 18.808442425861607, "weighted_strike": 6.0, "avg_iv": 0.988025, "max_voi": 0.73333333, "why": "calls cluster with 88 contracts traded, $1760 estimated gross traded notional, and 19% of visible notional."}, {"label": "Calls \u00b7 91+ days \u00b7 ATM", "tone": "positive", "volume": 3, "open_interest": 240, "premium": 415.0, "premium_label": "$415", "premium_share": 4.43494523109805, "weighted_strike": 5.0, "avg_iv": 0.97095, "max_voi": 0.03333333, "why": "calls cluster with 3 contracts traded, $415 estimated gross traded notional, and 4% of visible notional."}, {"label": "Calls \u00b7 8-21 days \u00b7 ITM", "tone": "positive", "volume": 1, "open_interest": 64, "premium": 300.0, "premium_label": "$300", "premium_share": 3.205984504408229, "weighted_strike": 2.0, "avg_iv": 2.5831075, "max_voi": 1.0, "why": "calls cluster with 1 contracts traded, $300 estimated gross traded notional, and 3% of visible notional."}], "why_this_matters": "Earnings/event positioning matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $9358 of estimated gross traded notional, puts \u00b7 91+ days \u00b7 atm, and a volatility flow versus price backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.", "detail_url": "https://sharemaestro.com/options/ticker/908b13b7-2deb-438c-9d50-0daa74173087/", "research_links": {"chart": "/terminal/908b13b7-2deb-438c-9d50-0daa74173087/", "report": "/terminal/908b13b7-2deb-438c-9d50-0daa74173087/report/", "factor": "/factors/ticker/908b13b7-2deb-438c-9d50-0daa74173087/", "insider": "/insider-activity/company/fosl/"}}], "disclaimer": "Educational market research only. Not financial, investment, trading, tax, or legal advice."}