{"latest_run": "2026-07-31T20:50:00.033648+00:00", "coverage_count": 6120, "result_count": 1, "page": 1, "pages": 1, "filters": {"q": "", "ticker": "GEO", "sector": "", "industry": "", "direction": "", "min_score": 0, "page": 1}, "summary": {"total": 1, "avg_conviction": 53.23, "avg_conviction_label": "53.2", "bullish": 0, "bearish": 0, "volatility": 1, "mixed": 0, "leader": "GEO", "leader_score": "53", "leader_direction": "volatility", "leader_direction_label": "Volatility", "leader_tone": "warning", "leader_read": "The strongest current read is about a larger expected move, not a clean up-or-down direction."}, "charts": {"sectors": [{"ticker__sector": "Industrials", "count": 1, "avg_score": "53.23", "sector_label": "Industrials", "industry_label": "", "sector_url": "/structure/us/industrials/", "industry_url": "", "bar_width": 100.0}], "directions": [{"direction": "volatility", "count": 1, "bar_width": 100.0}], "score_bands": [{"slug": "80-plus", "label": "80+", "min": "80", "max": null, "title": "80+ conviction options signals", "summary": "The strongest current options reads, where pressure, participation, volatility context, and trend fit are most aligned.", "count": 0, "url": "/options/conviction/80-plus/", "bar_width": 0.0}, {"slug": "60-79", "label": "60-79", "min": "60", "max": "80", "title": "60-79 conviction options signals", "summary": "Strong options setups with meaningful evidence, usually worth deeper confirmation in the ticker detail and weekly chart.", "count": 0, "url": "/options/conviction/60-79/", "bar_width": 0.0}, {"slug": "40-59", "label": "40-59", "min": "40", "max": "60", "title": "40-59 conviction options signals", "summary": "Developing options reads where the tape is active, but one or more confirmation layers still need context.", "count": 1, "url": "/options/conviction/40-59/", "bar_width": 100.0}, {"slug": "under-40", "label": "<40", "min": null, "max": "40", "title": "Under 40 conviction options signals", "summary": "Early, mixed, or lower-conviction options reads that can still be useful as watchlist context.", "count": 0, "url": "/options/conviction/under-40/", "bar_width": 0.0}]}, "signals": [{"symbol": "GEO", "name": "Geo Group Inc", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "currency": "USD", "sector": "Industrials", "industry": "Security & Protection Services", "sector_url": "https://sharemaestro.com/structure/us/industrials/", "industry_url": "https://sharemaestro.com/structure/us/industrials/security-protection-services/", "direction": "volatility", "direction_label": "Volatility", "tone": "warning", "conviction_score": 53.23, "options_pressure_score": 46.97, "trend_confirmation_score": 62.79, "speculation_score": 40.12, "volatility_score": 83.55, "edge_label": "Volatility expansion watch", "insight": "GEO shows volatility options pressure with a 53/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.46, expected move of 11.8%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.", "fetched_at": "2026-08-02T09:34:11.609861+00:00", "snapshot": {"fetched_at": "2026-08-02T09:34:11.609861+00:00", "underlying_price": 30.89, "total_contracts": 442, "call_contracts": 221, "put_contracts": 221, "call_volume": 619, "put_volume": 283, "call_open_interest": 150924, "put_open_interest": 28662, "put_call_volume_ratio": 0.45718901, "put_call_open_interest_ratio": 0.18991015, "volume_open_interest_ratio": 0.00502266, "avg_implied_volatility": 0.62218, "max_pain_strike": 24.0, "expected_move_percent": 11.81612172, "nearest_expiration": "2026-08-21"}, "market": {"latest_close": 30.89, "one_week_change": -0.09702457956015524, "one_week_change_label": "-0.1%", "relative_strength": 42.794432, "fair_value_gap_label": "+66.6%", "trend_signal": "1"}, "premium_flags": [{"label": "Persistent pressure", "value": "4x", "detail": "Volatility pressure has repeated across recent market sessions."}, {"label": "Priced move", "value": "11.8%", "detail": "Options are pricing a wider near-term move."}], "intent": {"slug": "earningsevent-positioning", "label": "Earnings/event positioning", "tone": "warning", "confidence": 84.2, "confidence_label": "84/100", "summary": "Options activity is concentrated around a live event window, so the cleanest read is event positioning rather than pure direction.", "evidence": [{"label": "Notional split", "value": "C 84% / P 16%", "detail": "Estimated gross traded notional uses volume \u00d7 contract multiplier \u00d7 midpoint, or last price when no valid midpoint is available."}, {"label": "Freshness", "value": "0.01", "detail": "Volume divided by open interest across the visible chain."}, {"label": "Trend fit", "value": "63/100", "detail": "Agreement between options pressure and Sharemaestro market context."}, {"label": "Event window", "value": "5 Aug", "detail": "Matched earnings event is 3 days away."}], "watchouts": ["Aggregate chain data does not identify trade aggressor or opening versus closing activity; call/put concentration is not proof of market direction."]}, "flow_divergence": {"label": "Volatility flow versus price", "tone": "warning", "score": 28.6, "score_label": "29/100", "summary": "Options are pricing movement more than direction; compare expected move with the stock's actual weekly change.", "metrics": [{"label": "Options pressure", "value": "+47"}, {"label": "1W price", "value": "-0.1%"}, {"label": "Call premium", "value": "84%"}, {"label": "Put premium", "value": "16%"}]}, "conviction_clusters": [{"label": "Calls \u00b7 91+ days \u00b7 ITM", "tone": "positive", "volume": 100, "open_interest": 43487, "premium": 108380.0, "premium_label": "$108380", "premium_share": 35.1770618811841, "weighted_strike": 21.45, "avg_iv": 0.5894232307692308, "max_voi": 0.41666667, "why": "calls cluster with 100 contracts traded, $108380 estimated gross traded notional, and 35% of visible notional."}, {"label": "Calls \u00b7 8-21 days \u00b7 ITM", "tone": "positive", "volume": 66, "open_interest": 26765, "premium": 53807.5, "premium_label": "$53808", "premium_share": 17.46438233227361, "weighted_strike": 23.37878787878788, "avg_iv": 1.3286657142857143, "max_voi": 0.46875, "why": "calls cluster with 66 contracts traded, $53808 estimated gross traded notional, and 17% of visible notional."}, {"label": "Puts \u00b7 91+ days \u00b7 OTM", "tone": "negative", "volume": 226, "open_interest": 19891, "premium": 43260.0, "premium_label": "$43260", "premium_share": 14.040964172172211, "weighted_strike": 26.234513274336283, "avg_iv": 0.6269456923076923, "max_voi": 3.26785714, "why": "puts cluster with 226 contracts traded, $43260 estimated gross traded notional, and 14% of visible notional."}, {"label": "Calls \u00b7 91+ days \u00b7 OTM", "tone": "positive", "volume": 172, "open_interest": 24086, "premium": 41105.0, "premium_label": "$41105", "premium_share": 13.341512535763725, "weighted_strike": 37.883720930232556, "avg_iv": 0.561938, "max_voi": 60.0, "why": "calls cluster with 172 contracts traded, $41105 estimated gross traded notional, and 13% of visible notional."}, {"label": "Calls \u00b7 46-90 days \u00b7 ITM", "tone": "positive", "volume": 23, "open_interest": 14797, "premium": 25495.0, "premium_label": "$25495", "premium_share": 8.274951030271163, "weighted_strike": 20.043478260869566, "avg_iv": 1.0321477272727273, "max_voi": 0.02923977, "why": "calls cluster with 23 contracts traded, $25495 estimated gross traded notional, and 8% of visible notional."}], "why_this_matters": "Earnings/event positioning matters because it connects the options headline to the actual evidence: $308098 of estimated gross traded notional, calls \u00b7 91+ days \u00b7 itm, and a volatility flow versus price backdrop. Use it as a research priority signal, then validate the chart, liquidity, event calendar, and risk before acting.", "detail_url": "https://sharemaestro.com/options/ticker/a7604f31-2609-4d31-9449-d5cc5272c112/", "research_links": {"chart": "/terminal/a7604f31-2609-4d31-9449-d5cc5272c112/", "report": "/terminal/a7604f31-2609-4d31-9449-d5cc5272c112/report/", "factor": "/factors/ticker/a7604f31-2609-4d31-9449-d5cc5272c112/", "insider": "/insider-activity/company/geo/"}}], "disclaimer": "Educational market research only. Not financial, investment, trading, tax, or legal advice."}