Polymarket · Politics & Policy

Will Alan Wilson win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary by less than 5%?

Politics & Policy expectations are steady at 8.5% on a moderate-quality market. Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 8.5%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 41/100.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 8.5%
Signal Watch
Score 19
Freshness 1m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 958 Liquidity 8.9K Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality40.9
Momentum3.0
Urgency5.0
7d Move0.0 pts

Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 8.5%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 41/100.

Same theme
Exact Score: United States 1 - 2 Australia? 44.0% · Probability Surge · score 60 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pope Leo XIV by June 30, 2026? 9.5% · Probability Fade · score 59 Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election? 42.5% · Probability Fade · score 59 Exact Score: Jordan 2 - 3 Algeria? 25.5% · Probability Surge · score 58 Exact Score: Jordan 1 - 0 Algeria? 36.5% · Probability Surge · score 57 Exact Score: Jordan 2 - 1 Algeria? 37.0% · Probability Surge · score 57