Polymarket · Politics & Policy

Will Pamela Evette win the first round of the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?

Politics & Policy expectations are steady at 82.5% on a moderate-quality market. Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 82.5%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 41/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 82.5%
Signal High Conviction
Score 18
Freshness 1m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 997 Liquidity 9.6K Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality41.2
Momentum0.0
Urgency5.0
7d Move0.0 pts

Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 82.5%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 41/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.

Same theme
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.8–0.9%? 1.8% · Probability Fade · score 60 Exact Score: United States 1 - 2 Australia? 44.0% · Probability Surge · score 60 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pope Leo XIV by June 30, 2026? 9.5% · Probability Fade · score 59 Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election? 42.5% · Probability Fade · score 59 Exact Score: Jordan 2 - 3 Algeria? 25.5% · Probability Surge · score 58 Exact Score: Jordan 1 - 0 Algeria? 36.5% · Probability Surge · score 57