Polymarket · Politics & Policy

Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Iceland?

Politics & Policy expectations are falling at 8.0% on a moderate-quality market. Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 8.0%. 24h move -0.5 pts. 7d move -0.5 pts. Data quality 34/100.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 8.0%
Signal Watch
Score 37
Freshness 39s
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 98 Liquidity 3.8K Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality33.6
Momentum8.9
Urgency95.0
7d Move-0.5 pts

Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 8.0%. 24h move -0.5 pts. 7d move -0.5 pts. Data quality 34/100.

Same theme
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.8–0.9%? 1.8% · Probability Fade · score 60 Exact Score: United States 1 - 2 Australia? 44.0% · Probability Surge · score 60 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pope Leo XIV by June 30, 2026? 9.5% · Probability Fade · score 59 Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election? 42.5% · Probability Fade · score 59 Exact Score: Jordan 2 - 3 Algeria? 25.5% · Probability Surge · score 58 Exact Score: Jordan 1 - 0 Algeria? 36.5% · Probability Surge · score 57