Polymarket · Rates & Inflation

Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Rates & Inflation expectations are steady at 0.4% on a moderate-quality market. Rates & Inflation expectation is steady at 0.4%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 39/100.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 0.4%
Signal Watch
Score 21
Freshness 53s
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 883 Liquidity 3.2K Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality38.5
Momentum0.0
Urgency25.0
7d Move0.0 pts

Rates & Inflation expectation is steady at 0.4%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 39/100.

Same theme
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in May 2026 be less than or equal to 2.1%? 24.5% · Probability Fade · score 59 Will Core CPI YoY be 2.9% in May? 27.0% · Probability Fade · score 52 Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in May? 17.8% · Watch · score 45 Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? 98.3% · High Conviction · score 38 No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? 0.9% · Watch · score 35 Will Core CPI YoY be 3.1% in May? 4.4% · Watch · score 32