Polymarket · Rates & Inflation

Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Rates & Inflation expectations are falling at 9.5% on a moderate-quality market. Rates & Inflation expectation is falling at 9.5%. 24h move -2.0 pts. 7d move -2.0 pts. Data quality 37/100.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 9.5%
Signal Watch
Score 26
Freshness 53s
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 880 Liquidity 2.0K Spread 0.1 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality37.3
Momentum14.6
Urgency25.0
7d Move-2.0 pts

Rates & Inflation expectation is falling at 9.5%. 24h move -2.0 pts. 7d move -2.0 pts. Data quality 37/100.

Same theme
Will Argentina's monthly inflation in May 2026 be less than or equal to 2.1%? 24.5% · Probability Fade · score 59 Will Core CPI YoY be 2.9% in May? 27.0% · Probability Fade · score 52 Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in May? 17.8% · Watch · score 45 Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? 98.3% · High Conviction · score 38 No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? 0.9% · Watch · score 35 Will Core CPI YoY be 3.1% in May? 4.4% · Watch · score 32