Polymarket · Politics & Policy

Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?

Politics & Policy expectations are steady at 18.5% on a moderate-quality market. Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 18.5%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 44/100.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 18.5%
Signal Watch
Score 29
Freshness 1m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 920 Liquidity 37.8K Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality43.9
Momentum0.0
Urgency53.2
7d Move0.0 pts

Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 18.5%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 44/100.

Same theme
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pope Leo XIV by June 30, 2026? 11.0% · Probability Fade · score 59 Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election? 42.5% · Probability Fade · score 59 Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026? 14.5% · Probability Fade · score 57 Exact Score: Audax CS Italiano 2 - 3 CD La Serena? 1.1% · Probability Fade · score 56 Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026? 33.5% · Probability Surge · score 55 Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.7–0.8%? 1.6% · Probability Fade · score 54