Kalshi · Geopolitics

yes Armenia,yes Bahrain,yes China PR,yes Ethiopia,yes Indonesia,yes Philippines,yes Russia

Geopolitics expectations are steady at 4.1% on a thin market. Geopolitics expectation is steady at 4.1%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 0/100. Treat as context only until liquidity improves.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 4.1%
Signal Thin Market
Score 10
Freshness 1m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 570 Liquidity 0 Spread 100.0 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality0.0
Momentum0.0
Urgency49.4
7d Move0.0 pts

Geopolitics expectation is steady at 4.1%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 0/100. Treat as context only until liquidity improves.

Same theme
Russia vs. Trinidad and Tobago: O/U 4.5 56.5% · Probability Surge · score 67 Will Ukraine re-enter Hryshyne by July 31? 29.5% · Probability Fade · score 48 T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: China vs Saudi Arabia 87.7% · High Conviction · score 42 Israel closes its airspace by June 10? 3.3% · Watch · score 40 Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? 11.0% · Watch · score 38 Russia vs. Trinidad and Tobago: O/U 3.5 63.5% · Watch · score 38