Polymarket · Rates & Inflation

Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in May?

Rates & Inflation expectations are falling at 8.2% on a moderate-quality market. Rates & Inflation expectation is falling at 8.2%. 24h move -2.2 pts. 7d move -2.2 pts. Data quality 31/100.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 8.2%
Signal Watch
Score 42
Freshness 2m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 93 Liquidity 1.4K Spread 0.1 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality31.2
Momentum26.3
Urgency95.0
7d Move-2.2 pts

Rates & Inflation expectation is falling at 8.2%. 24h move -2.2 pts. 7d move -2.2 pts. Data quality 31/100.

Same theme
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.9% in May? 29.5% · Watch · score 47 Will Argentina's monthly inflation in May 2026 be less than or equal to 2.1%? 28.0% · Probability Fade · score 46 Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in May? 17.8% · Watch · score 45 Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? 98.5% · High Conviction · score 37 No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? 1.1% · Watch · score 36 Will Core CPI YoY be 3.1% in May? 4.4% · Watch · score 32