Polymarket · Technology

Will Elon Musk be TIME Person of the Year 2026?

Technology expectations are steady at 17.0% on a moderate-quality market. Technology expectation is steady at 17.0%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 30/100.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 17.0%
Signal Watch
Score 20
Freshness 2m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 9 Liquidity 10.1K Spread 0.2 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality30.0
Momentum6.0
Urgency25.0
7d Move0.0 pts

Technology expectation is steady at 17.0%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 30/100.

Same theme
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026? 74.0% · Probability Surge · score 66 Will Google (GOOGL) close above $370 on June 9? 9.5% · Probability Fade · score 65 Will Apple (AAPL) close above $305 on June 9? 8.5% · Probability Fade · score 62 Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $410 on June 9? 60.0% · Probability Fade · score 61 Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 in June? 33.0% · Probability Surge · score 56 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in June? 54.5% · Probability Surge · score 51