Polymarket · Politics & Policy

Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 15%+?

Politics & Policy expectations are steady at 0.0% on a moderate-quality market. Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 0.0%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 48/100.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 0.1%
Signal Watch
Score 21
Freshness 3m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 9.3K Liquidity 21.8K Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality48.2
Momentum0.0
Urgency5.0
7d Move0.0 pts

Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 0.0%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 48/100.

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