Polymarket · Geopolitics

England vs. Ukraine: O/U 4.5

Geopolitics expectations are falling at 4.0% on a moderate-quality market. Geopolitics expectation is falling at 4.0%. 24h move -60.5 pts. 7d move -60.5 pts. Data quality 41/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 4.0%
Signal Probability Fade
Score 56
Freshness 24s
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 964 Liquidity 8.6K Spread 0.1 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality40.7
Momentum100.0
Urgency5.0
7d Move-60.5 pts

Geopolitics expectation is falling at 4.0%. 24h move -60.5 pts. 7d move -60.5 pts. Data quality 41/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.

Same theme
Israel closes its airspace by June 9? 1.6% · Probability Fade · score 65 Israel closes its airspace by June 14? 16.5% · Probability Surge · score 60 Israel closes its airspace by June 10? 9.8% · Probability Surge · score 57 Exact Score: England 0 - 3 Ukraine? 0.1% · Probability Fade · score 52 Russia vs. Trinidad and Tobago: O/U 4.5 56.5% · Probability Surge · score 49 Spread: England (-2.5) 93.0% · Probability Surge · score 49