Polymarket · Politics & Policy
Will the ECB announce no change at the July 2026 meeting?
Politics & Policy expectations are steady at 86.0% on a moderate-quality market. Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 86.0%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 44/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.
Probability
86.0%
Signal
High Conviction
Score
26
Freshness
2m
Probability history
Expectation over time
Volume 9.0K
Liquidity 4.1K
Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy
Why it ranks here
Quality44.5
Momentum6.0
Urgency25.0
7d Move0.0 pts
Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 86.0%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 44/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.
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