Polymarket · Rates & Inflation

Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?

Rates & Inflation expectations are steady at 71.0% on a moderate-quality market. Rates & Inflation expectation is steady at 71.0%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 38/100.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 71.0%
Signal Watch
Score 21
Freshness 2m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 895 Liquidity 2.3K Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality37.8
Momentum0.0
Urgency25.0
7d Move0.0 pts

Rates & Inflation expectation is steady at 71.0%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 38/100.

Same theme
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in May? 18.2% · Watch · score 51 Will Argentina's monthly inflation in May 2026 be less than or equal to 2.1%? 27.5% · Probability Fade · score 43 Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in May? 9.0% · Watch · score 39 Will Core CPI YoY be 2.9% in May? 31.0% · Watch · score 38 No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? 1.3% · Watch · score 35 Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? 97.9% · High Conviction · score 35