Polymarket · Politics & Policy

Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 0 Iceland?

Politics & Policy expectations are falling at 11.5% on a moderate-quality market. Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 11.5%. 24h move -0.5 pts. 7d move -0.5 pts. Data quality 39/100.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 11.5%
Signal Watch
Score 36
Freshness 34s
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 993 Liquidity 3.2K Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality38.8
Momentum2.9
Urgency95.0
7d Move-0.5 pts

Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 11.5%. 24h move -0.5 pts. 7d move -0.5 pts. Data quality 39/100.

Same theme
Exact Score: AC Goianiense 3 - 3 CR Brasil? 1.9% · Probability Fade · score 64 Exact Score: CD Ñublense 3 - 2 CD Huachipato? 6.0% · Probability Fade · score 62 Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%? 38.5% · Probability Surge · score 62 Exact Score: CD Concepción 1 - 2 CD Limache? 14.0% · Probability Fade · score 60 Exact Score: CSD Colo-Colo 2 - 1 CD Cobresal? 20.0% · Probability Surge · score 59 Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%? 21.0% · Probability Surge · score 58