{"title": "Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?", "provider": "Polymarket", "theme": "Energy", "probability": 49.0, "volume": 91522.2085, "liquidity": 59408.6899, "signal": "Probability Surge", "score": 43.7504, "narrative": "Energy expectation is rising at 49.0%. 24h move +5.0 pts. 7d move +5.0 pts. Data quality 56/100. Fast probability repricing; check related price action for confirmation.", "history": {"times": [1784458209, 1784458510, 1784458810, 1784459109, 1784459410, 1784459711, 1784460009, 1784460310, 1784460609, 1784460909, 1784461210, 1784461510, 1784461809, 1784462110, 1784462412, 1784462710, 1784463010, 1784463311, 1784463610, 1784463911, 1784464210, 1784464510, 1784464810, 1784465110, 1784465410, 1784465711, 1784466010, 1784466310, 1784466611, 1784466911, 1784467210, 1784467511, 1784467810, 1784468110, 1784468411, 1784468711, 1784469010, 1784469311, 1784469611, 1784469913, 1784470212, 1784470513, 1784470810, 1784471115, 1784471412, 1784471711, 1784472012, 1784472311, 1784472611, 1784472912, 1784473211, 1784473511, 1784473811, 1784474111, 1784474410, 1784474711, 1784475010, 1784475311, 1784475611, 1784475911, 1784476210, 1784476511, 1784476811, 1784477110, 1784477411, 1784477712, 1784478010, 1784478312, 1784478610, 1784478915, 1784479212, 1784479512, 1784479811, 1784480112, 1784480412, 1784480710, 1784481011, 1784481312, 1784481611, 1784481912, 1784482211, 1784482510, 1784482813, 1784483112, 1784483411, 1784483712, 1784484011, 1784484312, 1784484612, 1784484912, 1784485211, 1784485512, 1784485811, 1784486111, 1784486412, 1784486712, 1784487011, 1784487312, 1784487611, 1784487912, 1784488212, 1784488512, 1784488812, 1784489113, 1784489411, 1784489711, 1784490012, 1784490312, 1784490612, 1784490913, 1784491212, 1784491512, 1784491812, 1784492112, 1784492412, 1784492712, 1784493012, 1784493312, 1784493613, 1784493912, 1784494212, 1784494513, 1784494812, 1784495112, 1784495413, 1784495712, 1784496013, 1784496313, 1784496612, 1784496912, 1784497213, 1784497512, 1784497813, 1784498113, 1784498413, 1784498712, 1784499013, 1784499314, 1784499613, 1784499913, 1784500213, 1784500512, 1784500813, 1784501112, 1784501412, 1784501713, 1784502013, 1784502313, 1784502613, 1784502913, 1784503212, 1784503515, 1784503813, 1784504112, 1784504414, 1784504713, 1784505013, 1784505314, 1784505613, 1784505913, 1784506214, 1784506513, 1784506813, 1784507114, 1784507417, 1784507713, 1784508014, 1784508313, 1784508613, 1784508914, 1784509213, 1784509513, 1784509814, 1784510114, 1784510415, 1784510717, 1784511014, 1784511314, 1784511614, 1784511914, 1784512214, 1784512515, 1784512814, 1784513114, 1784513415, 1784513714, 1784514014, 1784514315, 1784514615, 1784514915, 1784515215, 1784515514, 1784515815, 1784516115, 1784516414, 1784516714, 1784517015, 1784517314, 1784517614, 1784517915, 1784518215, 1784518515, 1784518815, 1784519114, 1784519415, 1784519715, 1784520015, 1784520315, 1784520616, 1784520918, 1784521215, 1784521515, 1784521816, 1784522115, 1784522416, 1784522715, 1784523015, 1784523316, 1784523615, 1784523915, 1784524216, 1784524515, 1784524815, 1784525116, 1784525416, 1784525716, 1784526016, 1784526315, 1784526615, 1784526916, 1784527220, 1784527515, 1784527816, 1784528115, 1784528416, 1784528717, 1784529016, 1784529316, 1784529616, 1784529915, 1784530216, 1784530517, 1784530816, 1784531116, 1784531417, 1784531716, 1784532016, 1784532317, 1784532616, 1784532916, 1784533217, 1784533516, 1784533817, 1784534117, 1784534416, 1784534716, 1784535017, 1784699118, 1784699417, 1784699718, 1784700017, 1784700318, 1784700618, 1784700917, 1784701217, 1784701519, 1784701817, 1784702118, 1784702418, 1784702718, 1784703017, 1784703319, 1784703617, 1784703917, 1784704218, 1784704518, 1784704817, 1784705118, 1784705417, 1784705718, 1784706018, 1784706318, 1784706617, 1784706919, 1784707217, 1784707517], "probability": [44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 43.5, 43.5, 43.5, 43.0, 43.5, 43.5, 43.5, 43.5, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 45.0, 44.0, 44.5, 44.5, 45.0, 45.0, 45.0, 45.5, 45.5, 45.5, 45.5, 45.5, 45.5, 45.5, 45.5, 45.5, 45.5, 45.5, 45.5, 45.5, 45.5, 45.5, 45.5, 45.5, 45.5, 46.0, 46.0, 46.0, 46.0, 46.0, 46.0, 46.0, 46.0, 46.0, 46.0, 46.0, 46.0, 46.0, 46.0, 46.0, 46.5, 46.5, 46.5, 46.5, 46.5, 46.5, 46.5, 46.5, 46.0, 46.0, 46.0, 43.0, 43.0, 43.0, 43.0, 42.5, 44.5, 44.5, 44.5, 44.5, 44.5, 43.5, 43.5, 43.5, 43.5, 43.5, 43.5, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 44.0, 52.5, 52.5, 52.5, 52.5, 50.5, 50.5, 50.5, 50.0, 50.0, 50.0, 50.0, 50.0, 50.0, 50.0, 49.5, 49.5, 49.5, 49.5, 49.5, 49.5, 49.5, 49.5, 49.5, 49.5, 49.0, 49.0, 49.0, 49.0, 49.0], "volume": [8870.2888, 8870.2888, 8870.2888, 8870.2888, 8870.2888, 8870.2888, 8870.2888, 8870.2888, 8870.2888, 8870.2888, 8870.2888, 8870.2888, 8870.2888, 8870.2888, 8870.2888, 8870.2888, 8870.2888, 8870.2888, 8968.2888, 9076.2888, 9076.2888, 9076.2888, 9076.2888, 9076.2888, 9076.2888, 9078.4627, 9078.4627, 9078.4627, 9078.4627, 9078.4627, 9078.4627, 9078.4627, 9078.4627, 9078.4627, 9078.4627, 9078.4627, 9078.4627, 9078.4627, 9078.4627, 9078.4627, 9268.4627, 9268.4627, 9268.4627, 9268.4627, 9268.4627, 9268.4627, 9268.4627, 9268.4627, 9268.4627, 9268.4627, 9268.4627, 9268.4627, 9277.5537, 9277.5537, 9700.887, 9700.887, 9700.887, 9700.887, 9700.887, 9700.887, 9700.887, 9700.887, 9700.887, 9700.887, 9700.887, 9739.0688, 9755.6288, 9755.6288, 9755.6288, 9940.186, 9944.646, 9944.646, 9944.646, 9944.646, 9952.976, 9952.976, 9952.976, 9952.976, 9954.7617, 9964.6417, 9964.6417, 9964.6417, 9964.6417, 9964.6417, 9964.6417, 9964.6417, 9964.6417, 9964.6417, 9964.6417, 9964.6417, 9971.6592, 9971.6592, 9971.6592, 9971.6592, 9971.6592, 9971.6592, 9971.6592, 9971.6592, 9971.6592, 9971.6592, 9971.6592, 9971.6592, 9971.6592, 9971.6592, 9971.6592, 9971.6592, 9971.6592, 9971.6592, 9971.6592, 9971.6592, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 9973.8815, 90675.0628, 90759.7828, 90759.7828, 90759.7828, 91146.1028, 91269.1028, 91269.1028, 91269.1028, 91271.0636, 91271.0636, 91271.0636, 91271.0636, 91352.7036, 91363.3436, 91363.3436, 91363.3436, 91363.3436, 91363.3436, 91459.1836, 91459.1836, 91515.4777, 91515.4777, 91522.2085, 91522.2085, 91522.2085, 91522.2085, 91522.2085, 91522.2085, 91522.2085], "liquidity": [14505.6266, 15569.4335, 14974.4507, 14987.8751, 26283.7333, 26547.7656, 26547.7656, 26401.4183, 26370.2606, 26864.7785, 26930.072, 26926.2038, 27304.0674, 27481.8786, 27158.3674, 27368.9687, 27338.3996, 26927.3369, 27156.5918, 26091.6306, 28086.404, 25474.7834, 26443.2425, 27247.7248, 28688.2334, 28995.7691, 30130.423, 30116.0309, 30654.2016, 30850.6099, 35240.481, 35076.9471, 35083.5463, 34917.0465, 34971.5532, 35353.1447, 36028.9979, 34998.9298, 35608.3782, 35578.0063, 34646.4131, 34656.7001, 34779.9123, 35680.0443, 35587.4474, 35362.6778, 35172.1217, 35402.0218, 34921.989, 35118.9438, 33977.1945, 32579.779, 34185.2015, 34498.416, 46113.3222, 46743.9185, 45784.0234, 46583.3158, 45364.3718, 46207.8727, 46178.8386, 46864.5634, 46246.531, 45963.4177, 45691.2597, 45693.4192, 43235.6953, 44193.101, 44060.7527, 20637.9996, 44534.1359, 45685.5717, 48982.2766, 49181.8349, 48823.3673, 48777.8195, 49414.0266, 48588.5852, 49529.9735, 49621.6713, 49656.6293, 49593.3689, 47527.7819, 48276.4757, 47704.8383, 49280.1611, 49359.3443, 48491.5221, 48759.6409, 48963.6472, 48889.1671, 48069.4594, 48451.2876, 46803.7157, 48507.948, 48340.6427, 48715.6427, 48715.6427, 46687.9232, 48713.0332, 49059.259, 49061.0692, 48757.877, 48274.657, 49129.7018, 48840.4095, 48983.3414, 49016.5092, 48910.1952, 48799.8644, 48349.2259, 49202.8785, 48296.8505, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 48009.3611, 59295.1437, 59017.5664, 59532.0572, 59588.6056, 59411.7424, 59322.9622, 60314.0442, 61468.1731, 58718.1396, 60451.9111, 58793.5919, 58902.0576, 57156.9762, 58145.4664, 58145.6684, 57442.5084, 57904.4788, 57245.2738, 58920.3904, 59741.5068, 57961.298, 58073.9939, 58206.7895, 57700.2846, 59054.5502, 57797.2277, 57857.6967, 59527.1071, 59408.6899], "spread": [0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.04, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.04, 0.03, 0.03, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.03, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02]}, "anatomy": {"labels": ["Quality", "Momentum", "Urgency", "Score"], "values": [55.7533, 32.0, 40.8702, 43.7504]}, "source_url": "https://polymarket.com/market/israel-x-iran-ceasefire-continues-through-august-15-20260716224448969"}