{"title": "Will Fiona Ma win the California Lieutenant Governor Election in 2026?", "provider": "Polymarket", "theme": "Politics & Policy", "probability": 87.5, "volume": 8933.1185, "liquidity": 9269.8218, "signal": "High Conviction", "score": 26.6119, "narrative": "Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 87.5%. 24h move -1.0 pts. 7d move -1.0 pts. Data quality 46/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.", "history": {"times": [1781074460, 1781074761, 1781075060, 1781075360, 1781075660, 1781075960, 1781076260, 1781076560, 1781076861, 1781077161, 1781077460, 1781077761, 1781078060, 1781078360, 1781078660, 1781078960, 1781079261, 1781079561, 1781079868, 1781080160, 1781080461, 1781080760, 1781081061, 1781081361, 1781081661, 1781081961, 1781082261], "probability": [88.5, 88.5, 88.5, 88.5, 88.0, 88.0, 88.0, 88.0, 87.5, 87.5, 87.5, 87.5, 87.5, 87.5, 87.5, 87.5, 87.5, 87.5, 87.5, 87.5, 87.5, 87.5, 87.5, 87.5, 87.5, 87.5, 87.5], "volume": [8933.1185, 8933.1185, 8933.1185, 8933.1185, 8933.1185, 8933.1185, 8933.1185, 8933.1185, 8933.1185, 8933.1185, 8933.1185, 8933.1185, 8933.1185, 8933.1185, 8933.1185, 8933.1185, 8933.1185, 8933.1185, 8933.1185, 8933.1185, 8933.1185, 8933.1185, 8933.1185, 8933.1185, 8933.1185, 8933.1185, 8933.1185], "liquidity": [9923.2374, 9923.2374, 9421.2312, 9421.2312, 9391.901, 9391.901, 10943.3, 10943.3, 10977.209, 10977.209, 10177.8194, 10177.8194, 10369.1916, 10369.1916, 10426.0401, 10426.0401, 10688.2611, 10688.2611, 9123.3116, 9123.3116, 9558.5016, 9558.5016, 10328.0201, 10328.0201, 11348.8903, 11348.8903, 9269.8218], "spread": [0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03]}, "anatomy": {"labels": ["Quality", "Momentum", "Urgency", "Score"], "values": [46.2092, 5.8, 25.0, 26.6119]}, "source_url": "https://polymarket.com/market/will-fiona-ma-win-the-california-lieutenant-governor-election-in-2026"}