{"title": "Will Bill Reid win the 2026 Arbroath and Broughty Ferry by-election?", "provider": "Polymarket", "theme": "Politics & Policy", "probability": 10.5, "volume": 9.0, "liquidity": 2872.0211, "signal": "Probability Fade", "score": 50.7305, "narrative": "Politics & Policy expectation is falling at 10.5%. 24h move -29.5 pts. 7d move -29.5 pts. Data quality 27/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.", "history": {"times": [1781081361, 1781081661, 1781081961, 1781082261, 1781082561, 1781082861, 1781083161, 1781083461, 1781083761, 1781084061, 1781084361, 1781084661, 1781084961, 1781085261, 1781085561, 1781085861, 1781086161, 1781086461, 1781086761, 1781087061, 1781087361, 1781087661, 1781087961], "probability": [40.0, 40.0, 40.5, 40.5, 39.0, 39.0, 35.0, 35.0, 17.5, 17.5, 10.5, 10.5, 10.0, 10.0, 16.0, 16.0, 14.5, 14.5, 10.0, 10.0, 11.5, 11.5, 10.5], "volume": [9.0, 9.0, 9.0, 9.0, 9.0, 9.0, 9.0, 9.0, 9.0, 9.0, 9.0, 9.0, 9.0, 9.0, 9.0, 9.0, 9.0, 9.0, 9.0, 9.0, 9.0, 9.0, 9.0], "liquidity": [1444.8343, 1444.8343, 1449.8185, 1449.8185, 1528.1075, 1528.1075, 1536.8178, 1536.8178, 2233.7971, 2233.7971, 2010.705, 2010.705, 1977.2817, 1977.2817, 2342.8915, 2342.8915, 1994.7804, 1994.7804, 2062.4199, 2062.4199, 1709.3512, 1709.3512, 2872.0211], "spread": [0.72, 0.72, 0.71, 0.71, 0.66, 0.66, 0.62, 0.62, 0.23, 0.23, 0.11, 0.11, 0.12, 0.12, 0.2, 0.2, 0.23, 0.23, 0.12, 0.12, 0.15, 0.15, 0.13]}, "anatomy": {"labels": ["Quality", "Momentum", "Urgency", "Score"], "values": [27.3953, 75.0, 53.6224, 50.7305]}, "source_url": "https://polymarket.com/market/will-bill-reid-win-the-2026-arbroath-and-broughty-ferry-by-election-20260609204740971"}