{"title": "Will Heather Doran win the 2026 Arbroath and Broughty Ferry by-election?", "provider": "Polymarket", "theme": "Politics & Policy", "probability": 12.0, "volume": 9.0, "liquidity": 1887.72, "signal": "Probability Fade", "score": 53.7364, "narrative": "Politics & Policy expectation is falling at 12.0%. 24h move -30.0 pts. 7d move -30.0 pts. Data quality 26/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.", "history": {"times": [1781081361, 1781081661, 1781081961, 1781082261, 1781082561, 1781082861, 1781083161, 1781083461, 1781083761, 1781084061, 1781084361, 1781084661, 1781084961, 1781085261, 1781085561, 1781085861, 1781086161, 1781086461, 1781086761, 1781087061, 1781087361, 1781087661, 1781087961], "probability": [42.0, 42.0, 42.0, 42.0, 42.0, 40.0, 40.0, 38.5, 38.5, 13.5, 13.5, 12.5, 12.5, 13.0, 13.0, 12.0, 12.0, 10.5, 10.5, 12.0, 12.0, 12.0, 12.0], "volume": [9.0, 9.0, 9.0, 9.0, 9.0, 9.0, 9.0, 9.0, 9.0, 9.0, 9.0, 9.0, 9.0, 9.0, 9.0, 9.0, 9.0, 9.0, 9.0, 9.0, 9.0, 9.0, 9.0], "liquidity": [1423.102, 1423.102, 1423.102, 1445.9971, 1445.9971, 1527.5237, 1527.5237, 1504.7163, 1504.7163, 2200.8408, 2200.8408, 2223.7233, 2223.7233, 2100.6199, 2100.6199, 2216.5673, 2216.5673, 1733.231, 1733.231, 2039.4861, 2039.4861, 1887.72, 1887.72], "spread": [0.72, 0.72, 0.72, 0.68, 0.68, 0.66, 0.66, 0.67, 0.67, 0.11, 0.11, 0.13, 0.13, 0.14, 0.14, 0.14, 0.14, 0.15, 0.15, 0.12, 0.12, 0.16, 0.16]}, "anatomy": {"labels": ["Quality", "Momentum", "Urgency", "Score"], "values": [26.4094, 84.0, 53.6224, 53.7364]}, "source_url": "https://polymarket.com/market/will-heather-doran-win-the-2026-arbroath-and-broughty-ferry-by-election-20260609204740970"}