{"title": "Sudan civil war ceasefire by December 31, 2026?", "provider": "Polymarket", "theme": "Geopolitics", "probability": 19.0, "volume": 906.5028, "liquidity": 7713.2311, "signal": "Watch", "score": 23.0462, "narrative": "Geopolitics expectation is steady at 19.0%. 24h move -0.5 pts. 7d move -0.5 pts. Data quality 40/100.", "history": {"times": [1781183364, 1781183664, 1781183964, 1781184264, 1781184565, 1781184864, 1781185164, 1781185464, 1781185764, 1781186064, 1781186364, 1781186664, 1781186964, 1781187264, 1781187564, 1781187864, 1781188164, 1781188464, 1781188764, 1781189064, 1781189364, 1781189664, 1781189964], "probability": [19.5, 19.5, 19.0, 19.0, 19.0, 19.0, 19.0, 19.0, 19.0, 19.0, 19.0, 19.0, 19.0, 19.0, 19.0, 19.0, 19.0, 19.0, 19.0, 19.0, 19.0, 19.0, 19.0], "volume": [906.5028, 906.5028, 906.5028, 906.5028, 906.5028, 906.5028, 906.5028, 906.5028, 906.5028, 906.5028, 906.5028, 906.5028, 906.5028, 906.5028, 906.5028, 906.5028, 906.5028, 906.5028, 906.5028, 906.5028, 906.5028, 906.5028, 906.5028], "liquidity": [7482.2782, 7482.2782, 7606.1211, 7606.1211, 7552.1211, 7552.1211, 7606.1211, 7606.1211, 7515.2311, 7515.2311, 7515.2311, 7515.2311, 7515.2311, 7677.2311, 7677.2311, 7677.2311, 7677.2311, 7677.2311, 7677.2311, 7677.2311, 7677.2311, 7713.2311, 7713.2311], "spread": [0.05, 0.05, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06, 0.06]}, "anatomy": {"labels": ["Quality", "Momentum", "Urgency", "Score"], "values": [40.3434, 2.9, 25.0, 23.0462]}, "source_url": "https://polymarket.com/market/sudan-civil-war-ceasefire-by-december-31-2026"}