{"title": "Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly four nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?", "provider": "Polymarket", "theme": "Politics & Policy", "probability": 6.85, "volume": 924.3661, "liquidity": 1276.6121, "signal": "Watch", "score": 24.554, "narrative": "Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 6.8%. 24h move -0.6 pts. 7d move -0.6 pts. Data quality 36/100.", "history": {"times": [1781278167, 1781278467, 1781278767, 1781279067, 1781279367, 1781279667, 1781279967, 1781280267, 1781280567, 1781280867, 1781281167, 1781281467, 1781281767, 1781282067, 1781282367, 1781282667, 1781282967, 1781283267, 1781283567, 1781283867], "probability": [7.4, 7.4, 6.5, 6.5, 6.5, 5.5, 5.5, 5.5, 5.5, 5.5, 5.5, 5.35, 5.35, 5.2, 5.2, 5.2, 4.75, 4.75, 4.75, 6.85], "volume": [881.3661, 881.3661, 894.3661, 894.3661, 894.3661, 894.3661, 894.3661, 894.3661, 894.3661, 894.3661, 894.3661, 914.3661, 914.3661, 924.3661, 924.3661, 924.3661, 924.3661, 924.3661, 924.3661, 924.3661], "liquidity": [855.9261, 855.9261, 1237.6417, 1237.6417, 1237.6417, 1212.0521, 1212.0521, 1212.0521, 941.7733, 941.7733, 941.7733, 953.8053, 953.8053, 1273.2235, 1273.2235, 1273.2235, 749.9782, 749.9782, 749.9782, 1276.6121], "spread": [0.128, 0.128, 0.11, 0.11, 0.11, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.09, 0.085, 0.085, 0.072, 0.072, 0.072, 0.073, 0.073, 0.073, 0.117]}, "anatomy": {"labels": ["Quality", "Momentum", "Urgency", "Score"], "values": [36.3423, 11.29, 25.0, 24.554]}, "source_url": "https://polymarket.com/market/will-republican-senate-incumbents-not-win-in-exactly-four-nominating-elections-in-the-2026-cycle"}