{"title": "Will Elmano de Freitas win the 2026 Cear\u00e1 gubernatorial election?", "provider": "Polymarket", "theme": "Politics & Policy", "probability": 6.5, "volume": 9889.2806, "liquidity": 17408.842, "signal": "Watch", "score": 36.2762, "narrative": "Politics & Policy expectation is falling at 6.5%. 24h move -3.0 pts. 7d move -3.0 pts. Data quality 48/100.", "history": {"times": [1781409272, 1781409572, 1781409872, 1781410172, 1781410472, 1781410772, 1781411072, 1781411372, 1781411672, 1781411972, 1781412272, 1781412572, 1781412873, 1781413172, 1781413472, 1781413773, 1781414072], "probability": [9.5, 9.5, 9.5, 8.5, 8.5, 8.5, 8.5, 6.5, 6.5, 6.0, 6.0, 6.0, 6.5, 6.5, 6.5, 6.5, 6.5], "volume": [9792.5806, 9792.5806, 9792.5806, 9800.4606, 9800.4606, 9800.4606, 9800.4606, 9889.2806, 9889.2806, 9889.2806, 9889.2806, 9889.2806, 9889.2806, 9889.2806, 9889.2806, 9889.2806, 9889.2806], "liquidity": [17156.628, 17156.628, 17156.628, 19824.5881, 19824.5881, 19824.5881, 19824.5881, 20759.2747, 20759.2747, 17960.3971, 17960.3971, 17960.3971, 17055.5369, 17055.5369, 17055.5369, 17408.842, 17408.842], "spread": [0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.03, 0.03, 0.02, 0.02, 0.02, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01]}, "anatomy": {"labels": ["Quality", "Momentum", "Urgency", "Score"], "values": [47.8672, 29.4, 25.0, 36.2762]}, "source_url": "https://polymarket.com/market/will-elmano-de-freitas-win-the-2026-cear-gubernatorial-election"}