{"title": "Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?", "provider": "Polymarket", "theme": "Geopolitics", "probability": 19.5, "volume": 892.9256, "liquidity": 2254.573, "signal": "Watch", "score": 21.9413, "narrative": "Geopolitics expectation is steady at 19.5%. 24h move +0.5 pts. 7d move +0.5 pts. Data quality 38/100.", "history": {"times": [1780777649, 1780777950, 1780778249, 1780778549, 1780778849, 1780779149, 1780779449, 1780779749, 1780780049, 1780780349, 1780780649, 1780780949, 1780781249, 1780781549, 1780781849, 1780782149, 1780782449, 1780782749, 1780783049, 1780783349, 1780783649, 1780783949, 1780784249, 1780784549, 1780784849, 1780785149, 1780785449, 1780785749, 1780786049, 1780786349, 1780786649, 1780786949, 1780787249, 1780787549, 1780787849, 1780788149, 1780788449], "probability": [19.0, 19.0, 19.0, 19.0, 19.0, 19.5, 19.5, 19.5, 19.5, 19.5, 19.5, 19.5, 19.5, 19.5, 19.5, 19.5, 19.5, 19.5, 19.5, 19.5, 19.5, 19.5, 19.5, 19.5, 19.5, 19.5, 19.5, 19.5, 19.5, 19.5, 19.5, 19.5, 19.5, 19.5, 19.5, 19.5, 19.5], "volume": [886.7756, 886.7756, 886.7756, 886.7756, 886.7756, 886.7756, 886.7756, 886.7756, 886.7756, 886.7756, 886.7756, 886.7756, 886.7756, 886.7756, 886.7756, 886.7756, 886.7756, 886.7756, 886.7756, 886.7756, 886.7756, 886.7756, 886.7756, 886.7756, 886.7756, 886.7756, 886.7756, 892.9256, 892.9256, 892.9256, 892.9256, 892.9256, 892.9256, 892.9256, 892.9256, 892.9256, 892.9256], "liquidity": [1860.8162, 1860.8162, 2161.5615, 2194.5615, 2194.5615, 2249.4275, 2249.4275, 2365.0729, 2365.0729, 2498.2651, 2498.2651, 2060.6867, 2060.6867, 1831.1267, 1831.1267, 2482.3497, 2382.0452, 2382.0452, 2333.1688, 2333.1688, 2333.3608, 2333.3608, 2374.9242, 2374.9242, 2461.953, 2461.953, 2467.4278, 2041.3637, 2041.3637, 2064.9037, 2064.9037, 2342.3558, 2342.3558, 2424.4571, 2270.593, 2270.593, 2254.573], "spread": [0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.03]}, "anatomy": {"labels": ["Quality", "Momentum", "Urgency", "Score"], "values": [37.7126, 2.9, 25.0, 21.9413]}, "source_url": "https://polymarket.com/market/will-russia-capture-kupiansk-by-december-31-2026"}