{"title": "Will Nithya Raman finish second in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?", "provider": "Polymarket", "theme": "Politics & Policy", "probability": 98.4, "volume": 96530.1716, "liquidity": 50700.5763, "signal": "High Conviction", "score": 26.8148, "narrative": "Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 98.4%. 24h move +0.4 pts. 7d move +0.4 pts. Data quality 56/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.", "history": {"times": [1780790849, 1780791149, 1780791449, 1780791750, 1780792049, 1780792349, 1780792649, 1780792949, 1780793249, 1780793549, 1780793849, 1780794149, 1780794449, 1780794749, 1780795049, 1780795350, 1780795649], "probability": [98.0, 98.0, 97.7, 97.7, 97.7, 97.7, 98.35, 98.35, 98.35, 98.35, 98.35, 98.35, 98.35, 98.35, 98.35, 98.4, 98.4], "volume": [96216.8726, 96216.8726, 96427.9972, 96427.9972, 96427.9972, 96427.9972, 96529.0316, 96529.0316, 96529.0316, 96529.0316, 96530.1716, 96530.1716, 96530.1716, 96530.1716, 96530.1716, 96530.1716, 96530.1716], "liquidity": [56072.359, 56072.359, 55815.1705, 55815.1705, 55985.3792, 55985.3792, 48367.7824, 48367.7824, 49385.1464, 49385.1464, 45097.8572, 45097.8572, 50037.6644, 50037.6644, 50490.4954, 50700.5763, 50700.5763], "spread": [0.014, 0.014, 0.006, 0.006, 0.006, 0.006, 0.007, 0.007, 0.007, 0.007, 0.007, 0.007, 0.007, 0.007, 0.007, 0.008, 0.008]}, "anatomy": {"labels": ["Quality", "Momentum", "Urgency", "Score"], "values": [55.5647, 6.52, 5.0, 26.8148]}, "source_url": "https://polymarket.com/market/will-nithya-raman-finish-second-in-the-first-round-of-the-2026-los-angeles-mayoral-election"}