{"title": "Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?", "provider": "Polymarket", "theme": "Geopolitics", "probability": 17.0, "volume": 94.963, "liquidity": 264.7764, "signal": "Probability Fade", "score": 40.7027, "narrative": "Geopolitics expectation is falling at 17.0%. 24h move -11.0 pts. 7d move -11.0 pts. Data quality 27/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.", "history": {"times": [1781845647, 1781845948, 1781846247, 1781846547, 1781846848, 1781847147, 1781847447, 1781847748, 1781848047, 1781848348, 1781848648, 1781848948, 1781849247, 1781849548, 1781849847, 1781850147, 1781850448, 1781850747, 1781851048, 1781851348, 1781851647, 1781851947, 1781852248, 1781852548, 1781852847, 1781853148, 1781853448, 1781853747, 1781854048, 1781854347, 1781854647, 1781854948, 1781855248, 1781855548, 1781855848, 1781856148, 1781856448, 1781856616, 1781856911, 1781857212, 1781857512, 1781857812, 1781858112, 1781858412, 1781858712, 1781859012, 1781859312, 1781859611, 1781859912, 1781860212, 1781860511, 1781860812, 1781861112, 1781861411, 1781861712], "probability": [28.0, 28.0, 17.0, 17.0, 17.0, 17.0, 17.0, 17.0, 17.0, 17.0, 17.0, 17.0, 17.0, 17.0, 17.0, 17.0, 17.0, 17.0, 17.0, 17.0, 17.0, 17.0, 17.0, 17.0, 17.0, 17.0, 17.0, 17.0, 17.0, 17.0, 17.0, 17.0, 17.0, 17.0, 17.0, 17.0, 17.0, 17.0, 17.0, 17.0, 17.0, 17.0, 17.0, 17.0, 17.0, 17.0, 17.0, 17.0, 17.0, 17.0, 17.0, 17.0, 17.0, 17.0, 17.0], "volume": [94.963, 94.963, 94.963, 94.963, 94.963, 94.963, 94.963, 94.963, 94.963, 94.963, 94.963, 94.963, 94.963, 94.963, 94.963, 94.963, 94.963, 94.963, 94.963, 94.963, 94.963, 94.963, 94.963, 94.963, 94.963, 94.963, 94.963, 94.963, 94.963, 94.963, 94.963, 94.963, 94.963, 94.963, 94.963, 94.963, 94.963, 94.963, 94.963, 94.963, 94.963, 94.963, 94.963, 94.963, 94.963, 94.963, 94.963, 94.963, 94.963, 94.963, 94.963, 94.963, 94.963, 94.963, 94.963], "liquidity": [263.082, 263.082, 271.0302, 264.7764, 264.7764, 264.7764, 264.7764, 264.7764, 264.7764, 264.7764, 264.7764, 264.7764, 264.7764, 264.7764, 264.7764, 264.7764, 264.7764, 264.7764, 264.7764, 264.7764, 264.7764, 264.7764, 264.7764, 264.7764, 264.7764, 264.7764, 264.7764, 264.7764, 264.7764, 264.7764, 264.7764, 264.7764, 264.7764, 264.7764, 264.7764, 264.7764, 264.7764, 264.7764, 264.7764, 264.7764, 264.7764, 264.7764, 264.7764, 264.7764, 264.7764, 264.7764, 264.7764, 264.7764, 264.7764, 264.7764, 264.7764, 264.7764, 264.7764, 264.7764, 264.7764], "spread": [0.4, 0.4, 0.24, 0.24, 0.24, 0.24, 0.24, 0.24, 0.24, 0.24, 0.24, 0.24, 0.24, 0.24, 0.24, 0.24, 0.24, 0.24, 0.24, 0.24, 0.24, 0.24, 0.24, 0.24, 0.24, 0.24, 0.24, 0.24, 0.24, 0.24, 0.24, 0.24, 0.24, 0.24, 0.24, 0.24, 0.24, 0.24, 0.24, 0.24, 0.24, 0.24, 0.24, 0.24, 0.24, 0.24, 0.24, 0.24, 0.24, 0.24, 0.24, 0.24, 0.24, 0.24, 0.24]}, "anatomy": {"labels": ["Quality", "Momentum", "Urgency", "Score"], "values": [27.2826, 63.8, 25.0, 40.7027]}, "source_url": "https://polymarket.com/market/ukraine-signs-peace-deal-with-russia-by-august-31-20260619003108240"}