{"title": "Will Ernesto Bello win the 2026 Castrovillari mayoral election?", "provider": "Polymarket", "theme": "Politics & Policy", "probability": 5.4, "volume": 9073.2054, "liquidity": 3278.4349, "signal": "Watch", "score": 22.3522, "narrative": "Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 5.4%. 24h move +0.9 pts. 7d move +0.9 pts. Data quality 44/100.", "history": {"times": [1780896450, 1780896750, 1780897050, 1780897350, 1780897650, 1780897950, 1780898250, 1780898550, 1780898850, 1780899150, 1780899450, 1780899750, 1780900050, 1780900350, 1780900650, 1780900950, 1780901250, 1780901550, 1780901850, 1780902150, 1780902450], "probability": [4.5, 4.5, 4.5, 7.5, 7.5, 7.5, 7.5, 5.0, 5.0, 5.0, 5.0, 3.5, 3.5, 4.95, 4.95, 4.95, 4.95, 5.45, 5.45, 5.4, 5.4], "volume": [8829.0372, 8925.6895, 8925.6895, 9064.6154, 9064.6154, 9064.6154, 9064.6154, 9065.2054, 9065.2054, 9065.2054, 9065.2054, 9073.2054, 9073.2054, 9073.2054, 9073.2054, 9073.2054, 9073.2054, 9073.2054, 9073.2054, 9073.2054, 9073.2054], "liquidity": [8863.7676, 9109.7709, 9109.7709, 3299.5504, 3299.5504, 3428.9216, 3428.9216, 9076.9271, 9076.9271, 8402.1868, 8402.1868, 2950.3875, 2950.3875, 3592.9078, 3592.9078, 3195.1396, 3195.1396, 3378.6258, 3378.6258, 3278.4349, 3278.4349], "spread": [0.03, 0.03, 0.03, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.01, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.04, 0.01, 0.01, 0.039, 0.039, 0.039, 0.039, 0.049, 0.049, 0.048, 0.048]}, "anatomy": {"labels": ["Quality", "Momentum", "Urgency", "Score"], "values": [43.9442, 7.62, 5.0, 22.3522]}, "source_url": "https://polymarket.com/market/will-ernesto-bello-win-the-2026-castrovillari-mayoral-election"}