{"title": "Will Iv\u00e1n Cepeda win between 40% and 45% of votes in the first round of the 2026 Colombian election?", "provider": "Polymarket", "theme": "Politics & Policy", "probability": 98.8, "volume": 8672.0565, "liquidity": 10583.6902, "signal": "High Conviction", "score": 21.3998, "narrative": "Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 98.8%. 24h move +0.4 pts. 7d move +0.4 pts. Data quality 46/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.", "history": {"times": [1780927086, 1780927386, 1780927686, 1780927986, 1780928287, 1780928586, 1780928886, 1780929186, 1780929486, 1780929786, 1780930087, 1780930387, 1780930686, 1780930986, 1780931286, 1780931586, 1780931886, 1780932186, 1780932486, 1780932786, 1780933086, 1780933386, 1780933686, 1780933986, 1780934286, 1780934586, 1780934886, 1780935186, 1780935486], "probability": [98.4, 98.4, 98.8, 98.8, 98.85, 98.85, 98.8, 98.8, 98.7, 98.7, 98.8, 98.8, 98.85, 98.85, 98.8, 98.8, 98.8, 98.8, 98.8, 98.8, 98.8, 98.8, 98.8, 98.8, 98.8, 98.8, 98.8, 98.8, 98.8], "volume": [8672.0565, 8672.0565, 8672.0565, 8672.0565, 8672.0565, 8672.0565, 8672.0565, 8672.0565, 8672.0565, 8672.0565, 8672.0565, 8672.0565, 8672.0565, 8672.0565, 8672.0565, 8672.0565, 8672.0565, 8672.0565, 8672.0565, 8672.0565, 8672.0565, 8672.0565, 8672.0565, 8672.0565, 8672.0565, 8672.0565, 8672.0565, 8672.0565, 8672.0565], "liquidity": [9753.1019, 9753.1019, 9959.9185, 9959.9185, 9953.0336, 9953.0336, 10122.1513, 10122.1513, 9918.0007, 9918.0007, 10144.8822, 10144.8822, 9841.5061, 9841.5061, 10583.6902, 10583.6902, 10583.6902, 10583.6902, 10583.6902, 10583.6902, 10583.6902, 10583.6902, 10583.6902, 10583.6902, 10583.6902, 10583.6902, 10583.6902, 10583.6902, 10583.6902], "spread": [0.006, 0.006, 0.014, 0.014, 0.011, 0.011, 0.012, 0.012, 0.014, 0.014, 0.012, 0.012, 0.011, 0.011, 0.012, 0.012, 0.012, 0.012, 0.012, 0.012, 0.012, 0.012, 0.012, 0.012, 0.012, 0.012, 0.012, 0.012, 0.012]}, "anatomy": {"labels": ["Quality", "Momentum", "Urgency", "Score"], "values": [46.472, 2.32, 5.0, 21.3998]}, "source_url": "https://polymarket.com/market/will-ivn-cepeda-win-between-40-and-45-of-votes-in-the-first-round-of-the-2026-colombian-election"}