Polymarket · Politics & Policy

Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in San Diego County?

Politics & Policy expectations are rising at 54.5% on a moderate-quality market. Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 54.5%. 24h move +1.5 pts. 7d move +1.5 pts. Data quality 26/100.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 54.5%
Signal Watch
Score 22
Freshness now
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 906 Liquidity 20 Spread 0.8 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality25.8
Momentum26.7
Urgency5.0
7d Move1.5 pts

Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 54.5%. 24h move +1.5 pts. 7d move +1.5 pts. Data quality 26/100.

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