Polymarket · Politics & Policy

Will John Ternus say "Tool" during the Apple WWDC 2026 event on June 8th?

Politics & Policy expectations are rising at 47.4% on a moderate-quality market. Politics & Policy expectation is rising at 47.4%. 24h move +47.4 pts. 7d move +47.4 pts. Data quality 28/100. Fast probability repricing; check related price action for confirmation.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 47.5%
Signal Probability Surge
Score 41
Freshness now
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 874 Liquidity 61 Spread 0.9 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality27.6
Momentum75.0
Urgency5.0
7d Move47.4 pts

Politics & Policy expectation is rising at 47.4%. 24h move +47.4 pts. 7d move +47.4 pts. Data quality 28/100. Fast probability repricing; check related price action for confirmation.

Same theme
Exact Score: Slovenia 1 - 0 Germany? 9.5% · Probability Fade · score 59 Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election? 42.5% · Probability Fade · score 59 Exact Score: Jordan 2 - 3 Algeria? 25.0% · Probability Surge · score 58 Exact Score: Audax CS Italiano 2 - 3 CD La Serena? 1.5% · Probability Fade · score 57 Will Stefany Shaheen be the Democratic nominee for NH-01? 78.0% · Probability Surge · score 57 Will Trump say "No No No Donald" in June? 39.0% · Probability Fade · score 57