Polymarket · Energy

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?

Energy expectations are steady at 7.5% on a moderate-quality market. Energy expectation is steady at 7.5%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 49/100.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 7.5%
Signal Watch
Score 31
Freshness 2m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 9.8K Liquidity 35.2K Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality49.4
Momentum0.0
Urgency50.3
7d Move0.0 pts

Energy expectation is steady at 7.5%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 49/100.

Same theme
Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 9? 94.3% · Probability Surge · score 68 Iran closes its airspace by June 8? 100.0% · Probability Surge · score 60 Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 8? 48.0% · Probability Surge · score 51 Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.2m barrels per day in 2026? 92.5% · Probability Surge · score 49 WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $95 on June 8? 1.1% · Probability Fade · score 49 WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on June 8? 70.2% · Probability Fade · score 49