Polymarket · Energy

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?

Energy expectations are steady at 16.5% on a moderate-quality market. Energy expectation is steady at 16.5%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 44/100.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 16.5%
Signal Watch
Score 27
Freshness 2m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 940 Liquidity 36.9K Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality44.0
Momentum0.0
Urgency43.0
7d Move0.0 pts

Energy expectation is steady at 16.5%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 44/100.

Same theme
Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 9? 94.3% · Probability Surge · score 68 Iran closes its airspace by June 8? 100.0% · Probability Surge · score 60 Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 8? 48.0% · Probability Surge · score 51 Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.2m barrels per day in 2026? 92.0% · Probability Surge · score 50 WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $95 on June 8? 1.1% · Probability Fade · score 49 WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on June 8? 70.2% · Probability Fade · score 49