Polymarket · Politics & Policy

Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.5–0.6%?

Politics & Policy expectations are falling at 3.4% on a moderate-quality market. Politics & Policy expectation is falling at 3.4%. 24h move -11.6 pts. 7d move -11.6 pts. Data quality 36/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 3.5%
Signal Probability Fade
Score 50
Freshness 1m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 99 Liquidity 11.0K Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality36.0
Momentum78.1
Urgency25.0
7d Move-11.6 pts

Politics & Policy expectation is falling at 3.4%. 24h move -11.6 pts. 7d move -11.6 pts. Data quality 36/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.

Same theme
Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election? 42.5% · Probability Fade · score 59 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Pope Leo XIV by June 30, 2026? 10.5% · Probability Fade · score 59 Will Trump say "No No No Donald" in June? 39.0% · Probability Fade · score 56 Will Josh Tenorio win the 2026 Guam Governor Democratic primary election? 22.5% · Probability Surge · score 56 Exact Score: Audax CS Italiano 2 - 3 CD La Serena? 1.1% · Probability Fade · score 56 Will Mark Smith be the Republican Nominee for SC-01? 54.0% · Probability Fade · score 55