Polymarket · Politics & Policy

Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.4–0.5%?

Politics & Policy expectations are falling at 5.5% on a moderate-quality market. Politics & Policy expectation is falling at 5.5%. 24h move -5.5 pts. 7d move -5.5 pts. Data quality 33/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.

Probability 5.5%
Signal Probability Fade
Score 34
Freshness 2m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 99 Liquidity 2.5K Spread 0.1 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality32.6
Momentum40.9
Urgency25.0
7d Move-5.5 pts

Politics & Policy expectation is falling at 5.5%. 24h move -5.5 pts. 7d move -5.5 pts. Data quality 33/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.

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