Polymarket · Politics & Policy

Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?

Politics & Policy expectations are falling at 9.5% on a moderate-quality market. Politics & Policy expectation is falling at 9.5%. 24h move -9.0 pts. 7d move -9.0 pts. Data quality 32/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 9.5%
Signal Probability Fade
Score 38
Freshness 1m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 90 Liquidity 1.7K Spread 0.1 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality31.6
Momentum52.2
Urgency25.0
7d Move-9.0 pts

Politics & Policy expectation is falling at 9.5%. 24h move -9.0 pts. 7d move -9.0 pts. Data quality 32/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.

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