{"theme": "Politics & Policy", "summary": "302 active Politics & Policy markets are being monitored. Highest-ranked read: Probability Fade at 24.5% in Will the Democratic Party win the NY-21 House seat?.", "market_count": 302, "signal_count": 302, "data_lag": {"seconds": 168, "label": "2m"}, "signals": [{"title": "Will the Democratic Party win the NY-21 House seat?", "provider": "Polymarket", "probability": 24.5, "signal": "Probability Fade", "score": 57.6442, "narrative": "Politics & Policy expectation is falling at 24.5%. 24h move -14.5 pts. 7d move -14.5 pts. Data quality 38/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.", "watchlist": ["SPY", "IWM", "XLF", "XLV", "XLK"], "source_url": "https://polymarket.com/market/will-the-democratic-party-win-the-ny-21-house-seat", "detail_url": "https://sharemaestro.com/predictions/markets/1677/"}, {"title": "Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?", "provider": "Polymarket", "probability": 45.0, "signal": "Watch", "score": 51.1568, "narrative": "Politics & Policy expectation is falling at 45.0%. 24h move -4.5 pts. 7d move -4.5 pts. Data quality 51/100.", "watchlist": ["SPY", "IWM", "XLF", "XLV", "XLK"], "source_url": "https://polymarket.com/market/will-the-bank-of-brazil-decrease-the-selic-rate-after-june-2026-meeting", "detail_url": "https://sharemaestro.com/predictions/markets/9694/"}, {"title": "Will the Republican Party win the IA-03 House seat?", "provider": "Polymarket", "probability": 46.5, "signal": "Probability Surge", "score": 49.7273, "narrative": "Politics & Policy expectation is rising at 46.5%. 24h move +10.5 pts. 7d move +10.5 pts. Data quality 29/100. Fast probability repricing; check related price action for confirmation.", "watchlist": ["SPY", "IWM", "XLF", "XLV", "XLK"], "source_url": "https://polymarket.com/market/will-the-republican-party-win-the-ia-03-house-seat", "detail_url": "https://sharemaestro.com/predictions/markets/9690/"}, {"title": "Will the Republican Party win the NY-01 House seat?", "provider": "Polymarket", "probability": 49.5, "signal": "Probability Fade", "score": 49.0855, "narrative": "Politics & Policy expectation is falling at 49.5%. 24h move -8.0 pts. 7d move -8.0 pts. Data quality 40/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.", "watchlist": ["SPY", "IWM", "XLF", "XLV", "XLK"], "source_url": "https://polymarket.com/market/will-the-republican-party-win-the-ny-01-house-seat", "detail_url": "https://sharemaestro.com/predictions/markets/10347/"}, {"title": "Will the Democratic Party win the CA-27 House seat?", "provider": "Polymarket", "probability": 82.0, "signal": "Probability Surge", "score": 46.1637, "narrative": "Politics & Policy expectation is rising at 82.0%. 24h move +9.0 pts. 7d move +9.0 pts. Data quality 28/100. Fast probability repricing; check related price action for confirmation.", "watchlist": ["SPY", "IWM", "XLF", "XLV", "XLK"], "source_url": "https://polymarket.com/market/will-the-democratic-party-win-the-ca-27-house-seat", "detail_url": "https://sharemaestro.com/predictions/markets/10409/"}, {"title": "Will the Labour Party win fewer than 30 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?", "provider": "Polymarket", "probability": 32.0, "signal": "Probability Fade", "score": 45.9395, "narrative": "Politics & Policy expectation is falling at 32.0%. 24h move -9.5 pts. 7d move -9.5 pts. Data quality 25/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.", "watchlist": ["SPY", "IWM", "XLF", "XLV", "XLK"], "source_url": "https://polymarket.com/market/will-the-labour-party-win-fewer-than-30-seats-in-the-new-zealand-house-of-representatives-in-the-2026-new-zealand-legislative-election", "detail_url": "https://sharemaestro.com/predictions/markets/1727/"}, {"title": "Will Mike Waltz be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?", "provider": "Polymarket", "probability": 32.0, "signal": "Probability Fade", "score": 43.8476, "narrative": "Politics & Policy expectation is falling at 32.0%. 24h move -9.0 pts. 7d move -9.0 pts. Data quality 23/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.", "watchlist": ["SPY", "IWM", "XLF", "XLV", "XLK"], "source_url": "https://polymarket.com/market/will-mike-waltz-be-the-next-to-leave-the-trump-cabinet-before-2027-123", "detail_url": "https://sharemaestro.com/predictions/markets/10069/"}, {"title": "Will Nathan Willett be the Republican nominee for MO-06?", "provider": "Polymarket", "probability": 15.5, "signal": "Probability Fade", "score": 40.4224, "narrative": "Politics & Policy expectation is falling at 15.5%. 24h move -5.0 pts. 7d move -5.0 pts. Data quality 35/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.", "watchlist": ["SPY", "IWM", "XLF", "XLV", "XLK"], "source_url": "https://polymarket.com/market/will-nathan-willett-be-the-republican-nominee-for-mo-06", "detail_url": "https://sharemaestro.com/predictions/markets/10325/"}, {"title": "Will the Labour Party win 40-44 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?", "provider": "Polymarket", "probability": 49.0, "signal": "Probability Surge", "score": 40.2387, "narrative": "Politics & Policy expectation is rising at 49.0%. 24h move +6.0 pts. 7d move +6.0 pts. Data quality 30/100. Fast probability repricing; check related price action for confirmation.", "watchlist": ["SPY", "IWM", "XLF", "XLV", "XLK"], "source_url": "https://polymarket.com/market/will-the-labour-party-win-40-44-seats-in-the-new-zealand-house-of-representatives-in-the-2026-new-zealand-legislative-election", "detail_url": "https://sharemaestro.com/predictions/markets/10224/"}, {"title": "Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0\u20134%?", "provider": "Polymarket", "probability": 44.5, "signal": "Watch", "score": 38.9339, "narrative": "Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 44.5%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 55/100.", "watchlist": ["SPY", "IWM", "XLF", "XLV", "XLK"], "source_url": "https://polymarket.com/market/will-fujimori-win-the-2nd-round-of-the-2026-peru-presidential-election-by-04", "detail_url": "https://sharemaestro.com/predictions/markets/10037/"}, {"title": "Will the Republican Party win the TX-35 House seat?", "provider": "Polymarket", "probability": 35.5, "signal": "Watch", "score": 38.5477, "narrative": "Politics & Policy expectation is falling at 35.5%. 24h move -4.5 pts. 7d move -4.5 pts. Data quality 34/100.", "watchlist": ["SPY", "IWM", "XLF", "XLV", "XLK"], "source_url": "https://polymarket.com/market/will-the-republican-party-win-the-tx-35-house-seat", "detail_url": "https://sharemaestro.com/predictions/markets/10439/"}, {"title": "Will the Democratic Party win the IA-03 House seat?", "provider": "Polymarket", "probability": 70.0, "signal": "Probability Surge", "score": 37.3152, "narrative": "Politics & Policy expectation is rising at 70.0%. 24h move +5.0 pts. 7d move +5.0 pts. Data quality 29/100. Fast probability repricing; check related price action for confirmation.", "watchlist": ["SPY", "IWM", "XLF", "XLV", "XLK"], "source_url": "https://polymarket.com/market/will-the-democratic-party-win-the-ia-03-house-seat", "detail_url": "https://sharemaestro.com/predictions/markets/1726/"}, {"title": "Will Trump say \"Child\" during Wisconsin events?", "provider": "Polymarket", "probability": 80.5, "signal": "Watch", "score": 36.9391, "narrative": "Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 80.5%. 24h move -0.5 pts. 7d move -0.5 pts. Data quality 27/100.", "watchlist": ["SPY", "IWM", "XLF", "XLV", "XLK"], "source_url": "https://polymarket.com/market/will-trump-say-child-during-wisconsin-events-20260602174202001", "detail_url": "https://sharemaestro.com/predictions/markets/1696/"}, {"title": "Will Nancy Mace win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?", "provider": "Polymarket", "probability": 4.25, "signal": "Watch", "score": 36.8667, "narrative": "Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 4.2%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 55/100.", "watchlist": ["SPY", "IWM", "XLF", "XLV", "XLK"], "source_url": "https://polymarket.com/market/will-nancy-mace-win-the-2026-south-carolina-governor-republican-primary-election-591", "detail_url": "https://sharemaestro.com/predictions/markets/10185/"}], "probability_chart": {"times": [1780686531, 1780689145, 1780689445, 1780689661, 1780689745, 1780689899, 1780690045, 1780690345, 1780690630, 1780690645, 1780690945, 1780691245, 1780691545, 1780691845, 1780692145, 1780692445, 1780692746, 1780693045, 1780693345, 1780693645, 1780693945, 1780694245, 1780694548], "series": [{"name": "Will the Democratic Party win the NY-21 House seat?", "provider": "Polymarket", "theme": "Politics & Policy", "values": [39.0, 31.5, 31.5, 31.5, 31.5, 31.5, 31.5, 32.0, 32.0, 32.0, 30.5, 30.5, 32.5, 32.5, 32.5, 32.5, 33.0, 34.0, 34.0, 34.5, 34.5, 34.5, 24.5]}, {"name": "Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?", "provider": "Polymarket", "theme": "Politics & 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