{"theme": "Rates & Inflation", "summary": "11 active Rates & Inflation markets are being monitored. Highest-ranked read: Probability Surge at 41.5% in Will Core CPI MoM be 0.0% in May?.", "market_count": 11, "signal_count": 11, "data_lag": {"seconds": 118, "label": "1m"}, "signals": [{"title": "Will Core CPI MoM be 0.0% in May?", "provider": "Polymarket", "probability": 41.5, "signal": "Probability Surge", "score": 62.4497, "narrative": "Rates & Inflation expectation is rising at 41.5%. 24h move +17.0 pts. 7d move +17.0 pts. Data quality 28/100. Fast probability repricing; check related price action for confirmation.", "watchlist": ["TLT", "IEF", "XLF", "XLRE", "QQQ", "SPY"], "source_url": "https://polymarket.com/market/will-core-cpi-mom-be-0pt0-in-may", "detail_url": "https://sharemaestro.com/predictions/markets/9744/"}, {"title": "Will Core CPI MoM be -0.1% in May?", "provider": "Polymarket", "probability": 42.8, "signal": "Probability Surge", "score": 62.3773, "narrative": "Rates & Inflation expectation is rising at 42.8%. 24h move +18.2 pts. 7d move +18.2 pts. Data quality 28/100. Fast probability repricing; check related price action for confirmation.", "watchlist": ["TLT", "IEF", "XLF", "XLRE", "QQQ", "SPY"], "source_url": "https://polymarket.com/market/will-core-cpi-mom-be-0pt1-in-may", "detail_url": "https://sharemaestro.com/predictions/markets/9745/"}, {"title": "Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?", "provider": "Polymarket", "probability": 0.35, "signal": "Watch", "score": 40.848, "narrative": "Rates & Inflation expectation is steady at 0.4%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 73/100.", "watchlist": ["TLT", "IEF", "XLF", "XLRE", "QQQ", "SPY"], "source_url": "https://polymarket.com/market/will-the-fed-increase-interest-rates-by-25-bps-after-the-june-2026-meeting", "detail_url": "https://sharemaestro.com/predictions/markets/7672/"}, {"title": "Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?", "provider": "Polymarket", "probability": 0.8, "signal": "Watch", "score": 32.7189, "narrative": "Rates & Inflation expectation is steady at 0.8%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 53/100.", "watchlist": ["TLT", "IEF", "XLF", "XLRE", "QQQ", "SPY"], "source_url": "https://polymarket.com/market/bank-of-japan-increases-interest-rates-by-50-bps-after-the-june-2026-meeting", "detail_url": "https://sharemaestro.com/predictions/markets/10416/"}, {"title": "Will monthly inflation increase by 0.7% in May?", "provider": "Polymarket", "probability": 2.75, "signal": "Watch", "score": 32.0929, "narrative": "Rates & Inflation expectation is steady at 2.8%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 46/100.", "watchlist": ["TLT", "IEF", "XLF", "XLRE", "QQQ", "SPY"], "source_url": "https://polymarket.com/market/will-monthly-inflation-increase-by-0pt7-in-may", "detail_url": "https://sharemaestro.com/predictions/markets/1695/"}, {"title": "Will four or more people dissent the June Fed decision?", "provider": "Polymarket", "probability": 1.15, "signal": "Watch", "score": 30.2176, "narrative": "Rates & Inflation expectation is steady at 1.2%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 47/100.", "watchlist": ["TLT", "IEF", "XLF", "XLRE", "QQQ", "SPY"], "source_url": "https://polymarket.com/market/will-four-or-more-people-dissent-the-june-fed-decision", "detail_url": "https://sharemaestro.com/predictions/markets/1701/"}, {"title": "Will Argentina's monthly inflation in May 2026 be less than or equal to 2.1%?", "provider": "Polymarket", "probability": 45.5, "signal": "Watch", "score": 28.1702, "narrative": "Rates & Inflation expectation is steady at 45.5%. 24h move -0.5 pts. 7d move -0.5 pts. Data quality 33/100.", "watchlist": ["TLT", "IEF", "XLF", "XLRE", "QQQ", "SPY"], "source_url": "https://polymarket.com/market/will-argentinas-monthly-inflation-in-may-2026-be-less-than-or-equal-to-2pt1", "detail_url": "https://sharemaestro.com/predictions/markets/10722/"}, {"title": "Will Brazil\u2019s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.00% and 4.49%?", "provider": "Polymarket", "probability": 2.05, "signal": "Watch", "score": 24.7524, "narrative": "Rates & Inflation expectation is steady at 2.0%. 24h move -0.4 pts. 7d move -0.4 pts. Data quality 43/100.", "watchlist": ["TLT", "IEF", "XLF", "XLRE", "QQQ", "SPY"], "source_url": "https://polymarket.com/market/will-brazils-annual-inflation-in-2026-be-between-4pt00-and-4pt49", "detail_url": "https://sharemaestro.com/predictions/markets/10697/"}, {"title": "Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by June 30, 2026?", "provider": "Polymarket", "probability": 4.8, "signal": "Watch", "score": 24.2491, "narrative": "Rates & Inflation expectation is steady at 4.8%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 45/100.", "watchlist": ["TLT", "IEF", "XLF", "XLRE", "QQQ", "SPY"], "source_url": "https://polymarket.com/market/will-trump-try-to-fire-powell-as-fed-board-member-by-june-30-2026", "detail_url": "https://sharemaestro.com/predictions/markets/10264/"}, {"title": "Will the Fed\u2019s lower bound reach 1.75% or lower before 2027?", "provider": "Polymarket", "probability": 6.0, "signal": "Watch", "score": 23.6256, "narrative": "Rates & Inflation expectation is steady at 6.0%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 44/100.", "watchlist": ["TLT", "IEF", "XLF", "XLRE", "QQQ", "SPY"], "source_url": "https://polymarket.com/market/will-the-feds-lower-bound-reach-1pt75-or-lower-before-2027-123-334-678-153-953-848-473", "detail_url": "https://sharemaestro.com/predictions/markets/9822/"}, {"title": "Reserve Bank of Australia decreases interest rates by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?", "provider": "Polymarket", "probability": 5.05, "signal": "Watch", "score": 19.7714, "narrative": "Rates & Inflation expectation is steady at 5.0%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 35/100.", "watchlist": ["TLT", "IEF", "XLF", "XLRE", "QQQ", "SPY"], "source_url": "https://polymarket.com/market/reserve-bank-of-australia-decreases-interest-rates-by-25-bps-at-the-august-2026-meeting", "detail_url": "https://sharemaestro.com/predictions/markets/9857/"}], "probability_chart": {"times": [1780686531, 1780689145, 1780689445, 1780689661, 1780689745, 1780689899, 1780690045, 1780690345, 1780690630, 1780690645, 1780690945, 1780691245, 1780691545, 1780691845, 1780692145, 1780692445, 1780692746, 1780693045, 1780693345, 1780693645, 1780693945, 1780694245, 1780694548], "series": [{"name": "Will Core CPI MoM be 0.0% in May?", "provider": "Polymarket", "theme": "Rates & Inflation", "values": [null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 24.5, 24.5, 24.5, 24.5, 24.5, 24.5, 24.5, 24.5, 24.5, 24.5, 24.5, 24.5, 24.5, 24.5, 41.5]}, {"name": "Will Core CPI MoM be -0.1% in May?", "provider": "Polymarket", "theme": "Rates & Inflation", "values": [null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 24.6, 24.6, 24.6, 24.6, 24.6, 24.6, 24.6, 24.6, 24.6, 24.6, 24.6, 24.6, 24.6, 24.6, 42.8]}, {"name": "Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeti", "provider": "Polymarket", "theme": "Rates & Inflation", "values": [null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.35, 0.35, 0.35, 0.35, 0.35, 0.35, 0.35, 0.35, 0.35, 0.35, 0.35, 0.35, 0.35, 0.35, 0.35, 0.35, 0.35]}, {"name": "Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me", "provider": "Polymarket", "theme": "Rates & Inflation", "values": [null, null, null, null, null, null, null, null, 0.8, 0.8, 0.8, 0.8, 0.8, 0.8, 0.8, 0.8, 0.8, 0.8, 0.8, 0.8, 0.8, 0.8, 0.8]}, {"name": "Will monthly inflation increase by 0.7% in May?", "provider": "Polymarket", "theme": "Rates & Inflation", "values": [2.7, 2.75, 2.75, 2.75, 2.75, 2.75, 2.75, 2.75, 2.75, 2.75, 2.7, 2.75, 2.75, 2.75, 2.75, 2.75, 2.75, 2.75, 2.7, 2.8, 2.8, 2.75, 2.75]}, {"name": "Will four or more people dissent the June Fed decision?", "provider": "Polymarket", "theme": "Rates & Inflation", "values": [1.15, 1.15, 1.15, 1.15, 1.15, 1.15, 1.15, 1.15, 1.15, 1.15, 1.15, 1.15, 1.15, 1.15, 1.15, 1.15, 1.15, 1.15, 1.15, 1.15, 1.15, 1.15, 1.15]}]}, "theme_history": {"times": [1780684975, 1780685350, 1780685908, 1780686178, 1780686541, 1780686642, 1780689146, 1780689445, 1780689672, 1780689746, 1780689908, 1780690045, 1780690345, 1780690649, 1780690744, 1780690949, 1780691249, 1780691549, 1780691849, 1780692149, 1780692449, 1780692749, 1780693049, 1780693349, 1780693649, 1780693949, 1780694249, 1780694552], "scores": [24.4045, 31.0142, 31.0194, 31.0423, 31.0244, 31.025, 31.1166, 31.1186, 31.1441, 31.1446, 31.1457, 34.3792, 34.3933, 27.4736, 27.4739, 27.4533, 27.4755, 27.4769, 27.476, 27.478, 27.4805, 27.4744, 27.4736, 27.4714, 27.4889, 27.4903, 27.4723, 34.6612], "probabilities": [21.175, 1.925, 1.925, 1.95, 1.925, 1.925, 1.95, 1.95, 1.95, 1.95, 1.95, 1.4167, 1.4167, 10.7591, 10.7591, 10.7545, 10.7591, 10.7591, 10.7591, 10.7591, 10.7591, 10.7591, 10.7591, 10.7545, 10.7636, 10.7636, 10.7591, 13.8864], "volumes": [229310.6314, 19795.588, 19795.588, 19795.588, 19795.588, 19795.588, 19795.588, 19795.588, 19795.588, 19795.588, 19795.588, 9851517.3111, 9851517.3111, 9970381.2882, 9970381.2882, 9970381.2882, 9977555.4482, 9977555.4482, 9977555.4482, 9979068.4872, 9979339.7402, 9979339.7402, 9979589.7402, 9979589.7402, 9979841.6959, 9979841.6959, 9979859.6739, 9979859.6739]}, "market_map": {"labels": ["Will Core CPI MoM be -0.1% in May?", "Will Core CPI MoM be 0.0% in May?", "Will Argentina's monthly inflation in May 2026 be less than or equal to ", "Reserve Bank of Australia decreases interest rates by 25 bps at the Augu", "Will Brazil\u2019s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.00% and 4.49%?", "Will the Fed\u2019s lower bound reach 1.75% or lower before 2027?", "Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by June 30, 2026?", "Will monthly inflation increase by 0.7% in May?", "Will four or more people dissent the June Fed decision?", "Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me", "Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeti"], "themes": ["Rates & Inflation", "Rates & Inflation", "Rates & Inflation", "Rates & Inflation", "Rates & Inflation", "Rates & Inflation", "Rates & Inflation", "Rates & Inflation", "Rates & Inflation", "Rates & Inflation", "Rates & Inflation"], "providers": ["Polymarket", "Polymarket", "Polymarket", "Polymarket", "Polymarket", "Polymarket", "Polymarket", "Polymarket", "Polymarket", "Polymarket", "Polymarket"], "probabilities": [42.8, 41.5, 45.5, 5.05, 2.05, 6.0, 4.8, 2.75, 1.15, 0.8, 0.35], "qualities": [27.9941, 28.1665, 33.4228, 35.1701, 43.2929, 44.3466, 45.2974, 45.9794, 47.3216, 52.8961, 72.6321], "scores": [62.3773, 62.4497, 28.1702, 19.7714, 24.7524, 23.6256, 24.2491, 32.0929, 30.2176, 32.7189, 40.848]}}