{ "ticker": { "uuid": "0019516c-f106-481a-98d3-193e7dcd2c1b", "symbol": "3504", "name": "Young Optics Inc.", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3a", "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 12.318, "architecture_energy": 13.615, "architecture_maturity": 48.192, "architecture_confidence": 71.699, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 59.31, "rotation_up": 21.57, "upward_expansion": 42.46, "deceleration": 83.45, "rotation_down": 34.65, "downward_expansion": 31.8 }, "activity_lines": [ 70.573332, 72.687272, 73.987619, 71.033333 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 74.099998, "trend_reference": 66.776667, "distance_from_trend": 0.109669, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 59.399359, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.247488, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -12.748747, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.38764, "excess_performance": -0.053732, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.109669, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.137818, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.247488, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.053129, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.127487, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.083965, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.38764, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 2.603481, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 5149339, "relative_activity": 0.431674, "balance": 2.603481, "dry_up": 1.229638, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.154158, "annualized_volatility": 0.784662, "from_high_reference": -0.242331, "from_low_reference": 0.579957 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 66.776667, "fair_value_reference": 59.399359, "structural_low": 50.400002, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.118077, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": -0.104271, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.076923, "worst_return": -0.195798, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": -0.018605, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.159124, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.001751, "worst_return": -0.34958, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.010465, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.22375, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.108581, "worst_return": -0.42521, "sufficient": false }, { 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"downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-05-02", "end": "2025-08-08", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.251925, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-08-15", "end": "2025-09-19", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.080702, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-09-26", "end": "2025-10-17", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.02911, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-10-24", "end": "2025-11-21", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.169002, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-11-28", "end": "2025-12-26", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.046465, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-01-02", "end": "2026-02-13", 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59.442949, "relative_strength": -21.204736, "stage": 3, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 22.524461, "energy": 15.237379, "activity_lines": [ 75.933334, 78.247273, 74.085239, 69.878495 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 62.099998, "volume": 3134849, "typical_volume": 9531676.95, "trend": 64.733334, "fair_value": 59.362821, "relative_strength": -24.799116, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 7.320548, "energy": 16.329953, "activity_lines": [ 70.1, 75.136363, 73.397619, 69.732258 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 68.5, "volume": 27006534, "typical_volume": 10745698.3, "trend": 65.29, "fair_value": 59.332692, "relative_strength": -15.538749, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 17.606371, "energy": 21.701543, "activity_lines": [ 68.34, 73.465454, 73.311905, 69.975269 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 73.599998, "volume": 23381486, "typical_volume": 11761448.75, "trend": 66.01, "fair_value": 59.358974, "relative_strength": -10.925544, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 8.005769, "energy": 18.251512, "activity_lines": [ 69.206666, 72.992727, 73.662381, 70.511398 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 74.099998, "volume": 5149339, "typical_volume": 11928760.35, "trend": 66.776667, "fair_value": 59.399359, "relative_strength": -12.748747, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 12.317904, "energy": 13.614805, "activity_lines": [ 70.573332, 72.687272, 73.987619, 71.033333 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }