{ "ticker": { "uuid": "001eefe7-de31-43e1-88c3-d6d018e25497", "symbol": "FAMI", "name": "Farmmi Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -70.441, "architecture_energy": 87.412, "architecture_maturity": 32.0, "architecture_confidence": 87.146, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 5.03, "rotation_up": 9.1, "upward_expansion": 21.66, "deceleration": 37.13, "rotation_down": 82.55, "downward_expansion": 99.66 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.176293, 0.372816, 0.716266, 0.873348 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 0.1606, "trend_reference": 1.051303, "distance_from_trend": -0.847237, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 6.038646, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.973405, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -89.331572, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.865042, "excess_performance": -1.052496, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.847237, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.211051, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.973405, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.097342, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.893316, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.520315, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.865042, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.168549, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 7492164, "relative_activity": 3.857609, "balance": 0.168549, "dry_up": 2.039686, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 1.752467, "annualized_volatility": 2.595831, "from_high_reference": -0.921659, "from_low_reference": 0.135785 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 1.051303, "fair_value_reference": 6.038646, "structural_low": 0.1414, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 57, "median_return": -0.052023, "positive_rate": 0.315789, "directional_follow_through": 0.649123, "median_excess_return": -0.067498, "regime_survival": 0.929825, "best_return": 0.593252, "worst_return": -0.589691, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 18, "median_return": -0.239261, "positive_rate": 0.111111, "directional_follow_through": 0.888889, "median_excess_return": -0.302892, "regime_survival": 0.888889, "best_return": 0.136364, "worst_return": -0.674182, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.491705, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.540027, "regime_survival": 0.777778, "best_return": -0.129664, "worst_return": -0.824314, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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"balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-01-03", "end": "2025-02-21", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.2064, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-02-28", "end": "2025-07-11", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.32458, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-07-18", "end": "2025-07-25", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.015957, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-08-01", "end": "2025-11-07", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.118114, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-11-14", "end": "2026-05-15", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.169371, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2026-05-22", "end": "2026-06-26", "tenure": "Developing", 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92.757198, "activity_lines": [ 0.41014, 0.733102, 0.961965, 1.057375 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.1928, "volume": 2329108, "typical_volume": 1368106.95, "trend": 1.12365, "fair_value": 6.569395, "relative_strength": -87.110342, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.948419, "energy": 90.160646, "activity_lines": [ 0.263627, 0.595398, 0.87658, 0.99466 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.169, "volume": 4199251, "typical_volume": 1568616.25, "trend": 1.086283, "fair_value": 6.287463, "relative_strength": -88.475674, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.954859, "energy": 89.040034, "activity_lines": [ 0.186327, 0.473135, 0.794297, 0.93307 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.1606, "volume": 7492164, "typical_volume": 1942178.25, "trend": 1.051303, "fair_value": 6.038646, "relative_strength": -89.331572, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.440544, "energy": 87.411596, "activity_lines": [ 0.176293, 0.372816, 0.716266, 0.873348 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }