{ "ticker": { "uuid": "00371f97-9844-4057-b033-6bb920b47582", "symbol": "YI", "name": "111 Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 95.665, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -63.76, "architecture_energy": 57.132, "architecture_maturity": 31.749, "architecture_confidence": 94.175, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 11.14, "rotation_up": 21.98, "upward_expansion": 10.34, "deceleration": 46.76, "rotation_down": 60.33, "downward_expansion": 86.01 }, "activity_lines": [ 3.855667, 3.992182, 4.595015, 5.147465 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 3.915, "trend_reference": 5.778093, "distance_from_trend": -0.322441, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 9.722506, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.597326, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -35.268489, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.470588, "excess_performance": -0.658042, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.322441, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.036305, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.597326, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.114469, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.352685, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.177385, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.470588, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.80551, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 35319, "relative_activity": 0.399225, "balance": 0.80551, "dry_up": 0.262615, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.202476, "annualized_volatility": 0.449836, "from_high_reference": -0.649508, "from_low_reference": 0.578629 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 5.778093, "fair_value_reference": 9.722506, "structural_low": 3.47, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 41, "median_return": -0.071661, "positive_rate": 0.365854, "directional_follow_through": 0.634146, "median_excess_return": -0.085727, "regime_survival": 0.902439, "best_return": 0.665584, "worst_return": -0.407466, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": -0.220728, "positive_rate": 0.428571, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.207576, "regime_survival": 0.714286, "best_return": 0.769139, "worst_return": -0.474691, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.127946, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.081133, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.382716, "worst_return": -0.622137, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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"Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-02-21", "end": "2025-02-28", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.061005, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-03-07", "end": "2025-03-21", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.211316, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-03-28", "end": "2025-04-11", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.243002, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-04-18", "end": "2025-08-01", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.077333, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-08-08", "end": "2026-01-09", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.550883, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2026-01-16", "end": "2026-02-27", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.4, "active": 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5.713927, "fair_value": 10.063115, "relative_strength": -35.606954, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.483371, "energy": 66.807233, "activity_lines": [ 3.897333, 4.179455, 4.880137, 5.386122 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3.85, "volume": 5943, "typical_volume": 89415.0, "trend": 5.75026, "fair_value": 9.89164, "relative_strength": -34.095855, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.612353, "energy": 58.868671, "activity_lines": [ 3.858, 4.063091, 4.727981, 5.265869 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3.915, "volume": 35319, "typical_volume": 88468.95, "trend": 5.778093, "fair_value": 9.722506, "relative_strength": -35.268489, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.759671, "energy": 57.132266, "activity_lines": [ 3.855667, 3.992182, 4.595015, 5.147465 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }