{ "ticker": { "uuid": "003c65da-3895-4573-894a-27aabf2b4660", "symbol": "PRSO", "name": "Peraso Inc", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -62.465, "architecture_energy": 59.602, "architecture_maturity": 31.17, "architecture_confidence": 91.186, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 8.68, "rotation_up": 14.59, "upward_expansion": 11.53, "deceleration": 42.02, "rotation_down": 67.28, "downward_expansion": 87.2 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.71272, 0.75792, 0.850328, 0.918397 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 0.7474, "trend_reference": 0.982933, "distance_from_trend": -0.239623, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 2.272715, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.671142, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -37.77642, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.14092, "excess_performance": -0.328373, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.239623, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.051854, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.671142, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.070087, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.377764, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.143729, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.14092, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.171312, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1149193, "relative_activity": 0.218253, "balance": 0.171312, "dry_up": 0.260926, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.221558, "annualized_volatility": 1.46453, "from_high_reference": -0.684628, "from_low_reference": 0.288621 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.982933, "fair_value_reference": 2.272715, "structural_low": 0.58, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 38, "median_return": -0.123148, "positive_rate": 0.289474, "directional_follow_through": 0.710526, "median_excess_return": -0.102878, "regime_survival": 0.842105, "best_return": 0.686383, "worst_return": -0.597605, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 13, "median_return": -0.088235, "positive_rate": 0.153846, "directional_follow_through": 0.846154, "median_excess_return": -0.233015, "regime_survival": 0.538462, "best_return": 0.10237, "worst_return": -0.664671, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": -0.408719, "positive_rate": 0.142857, "directional_follow_through": 0.857143, "median_excess_return": -0.452007, "regime_survival": 0.857143, "best_return": 0.057273, "worst_return": -0.845122, "sufficient": true }, 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-40.911677, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.168026, "energy": 70.613265, "activity_lines": [ 0.751333, 0.818029, 0.898755, 0.95662 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.648, "volume": 1472571, "typical_volume": 7654587.0, "trend": 0.989713, "fair_value": 2.370488, "relative_strength": -43.605543, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.664897, "energy": 70.190827, "activity_lines": [ 0.710927, 0.775375, 0.867803, 0.93403 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.7474, "volume": 1149193, "typical_volume": 5265415.5, "trend": 0.982933, "fair_value": 2.272715, "relative_strength": -37.77642, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.465474, "energy": 59.602123, "activity_lines": [ 0.71272, 0.75792, 0.850328, 0.918397 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }