{ "ticker": { "uuid": "003f6986-5f09-402f-bf5a-69cfcb540b6e", "symbol": "RTNINDIA", "name": "RattanIndia Enterprises Limited", "exchange": "NSI", "country": "IN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^NSEI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "rotation_down", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down", "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -21.808, "architecture_energy": 43.632, "architecture_maturity": 6.885, "architecture_confidence": 76.354, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.", "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion." }, "scores": { "balance": 45.93, "rotation_up": 15.06, "upward_expansion": 23.31, "deceleration": 51.27, "rotation_down": 65.35, "downward_expansion": 52.97 }, "activity_lines": [ 31.752, 32.679818, 33.724429, 33.191441 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.833333 }, "latest_close": 31.790001, "trend_reference": 32.979334, "distance_from_trend": -0.036063, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 57.142243, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.443669, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -19.289057, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.129518, "excess_performance": -0.085809, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.036063, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.083916, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.443669, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.098291, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.192891, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.059044, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.129518, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.947148, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 8655880, "relative_activity": 0.936975, "balance": 0.947148, "dry_up": 0.558939, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.079706, "annualized_volatility": 0.451737, "from_high_reference": -0.503281, "from_low_reference": 0.302869 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 32.979334, "fair_value_reference": 57.142243, "structural_low": 24.4, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.041744, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.8, "median_excess_return": -0.035613, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.0, "worst_return": -0.16903, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.164576, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.09249, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.102148, "worst_return": -0.306056, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.160632, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.163138, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.046324, "worst_return": -0.319279, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 2, 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"trend": 33.58, "fair_value": 57.351987, "relative_strength": -18.736137, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Balance after decline", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -32.652715, "energy": 33.332494, "activity_lines": [ 32.464666, 33.673091, 34.043239, 33.427871 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 31.34, "volume": 3472295, "typical_volume": 9853394.45, "trend": 33.214667, "fair_value": 57.251602, "relative_strength": -20.604943, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -25.761847, "energy": 40.787145, "activity_lines": [ 31.948666, 33.105818, 33.875239, 33.283355 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 31.790001, "volume": 8655880, "typical_volume": 9238110.55, "trend": 32.979334, "fair_value": 57.142243, "relative_strength": -19.289057, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Supply rotation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -21.80773, "energy": 43.631762, "activity_lines": [ 31.752, 32.679818, 33.724429, 33.191441 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }