{ "ticker": { "uuid": "00403602-fce4-41e6-8064-ae3579c2beda", "symbol": "3016", "name": "Episil-Precision Inc.", "exchange": "TAI", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 7.13, "architecture_energy": 18.896, "architecture_maturity": 35.93, "architecture_confidence": 76.173, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 61.31, "rotation_up": 16.11, "upward_expansion": 41.23, "deceleration": 86.77, "rotation_down": 40.41, "downward_expansion": 32.9 }, "activity_lines": [ 95.953334, 104.133541, 107.383213, 98.924416 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 102.5, "trend_reference": 87.192423, "distance_from_trend": 0.175561, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 58.015097, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.766782, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 9.315303, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.847589, "excess_performance": 0.406217, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.175561, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.287348, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.766782, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.287609, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.093153, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.419569, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.847589, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.580885, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 33729384, "relative_activity": 0.929601, "balance": 1.580885, "dry_up": 0.909828, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.222663, "annualized_volatility": 0.941256, "from_high_reference": -0.327381, "from_low_reference": 2.062819 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 87.192423, "fair_value_reference": 58.015097, "structural_low": 50.796463, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.010477, "positive_rate": 0.416667, "directional_follow_through": 0.416667, "median_excess_return": -0.043971, "regime_survival": 0.416667, "best_return": 0.758823, "worst_return": -0.150221, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.008292, "positive_rate": 0.571429, "directional_follow_through": 0.571429, "median_excess_return": -0.118524, "regime_survival": 0.142857, "best_return": 1.667509, "worst_return": -0.183087, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.038128, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": -0.174011, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.916168, "worst_return": -0.469231, 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"activity_lines": [ 95.066668, 105.602855, 107.017673, 97.837635 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 102.5, "volume": 33729384, "typical_volume": 36283718.1, "trend": 87.192423, "fair_value": 58.015097, "relative_strength": 9.315303, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 7.129987, "energy": 18.896267, "activity_lines": [ 95.953334, 104.133541, 107.383213, 98.924416 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }